Catalonia

Resumen

The Catalan economy is highly buoyant. At CaixaBank Research, we estimate that GDP grew by 3.3% in 2024 (3.2% in Spain), thanks to the upturn in employment and tourism, against a backdrop of strong population growth, as it is one of the regions with the fastest-growing populations in recent years. Catalonia will continue to grow at an above-average rate in 2025, albeit at a subdued pace: we forecast GDP growth of 2.5% (2.4% in Spain).

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8,120,000
inhabitants (2024)
€35,325
GDP per capita (2023)
18.8%
of Spanish GDP (2023)
2.5%
anticipated growth in GDP (2025)

Regional economic structure and position

  • Catalonia is the region with the second-highest GDP, after Madrid, accounting for 18.8% of Spain’s total GDP.
  • With a population of 8.1 million inhabitants (16.5% of the Spanish population), it is also the second-largest region in demographic terms, after Andalusia. It is one of the regions with the highest proportion of foreign residents: 18.6% of the total population, compared to 13.8% in the country as a whole.
  • GDP per capita stands at 35,325 euros, the fourth highest in the country and 14.1% above the average.
  • Catalonia has a highly diversified production sector, although it is most notable for the relative importance of its manufacturing industry (15.5% of GDP vs. 11.9% on average across Spain); in contrast, agriculture only accounts for 0.9% (vs. 2.7%).
  • It is highly export-oriented, with goods exports accounting for 35.7% of GDP, 10 points above the average, and it is the region with the highest volume of exports: 100.133 billion euros in 2024, 26.0% of the total. The leading export sectors are chemical products (30.5% of the total) − above all medicine − motor vehicle industry products (14.5%) and textile products (5.9%): the region accounts for almost 49% of Spanish exports of chemical products, 40% of its meat and around 30% of its products from the motor vehicle industry, textile products and industrial machinery. Moreover, it is the region with the highest revenues from international tourism, standing at almost 20 billion euros in 2024 (21% of the total).

Table of structural indicators

 

  

1993

2003

2013

 

2023

GDP per capita

Euros

 

12,196

22,841

25,928

 

35,325

100 = Spain

 

121.2

120.1

117.8

 

114.1

Population

Thousands of inhabitants

 

6,136

6,713

7,433

 

8,012

Average annual growth over the decade (%)

 

0.2

0.9

1.0

 

0.8

% of the total in Spain

 

15.6

15.8

16.0

 

16.5

% of population > 65 years old

 

15.1

16.8

17.9

 

19.5

Exports of goods as a proportion of GDP

%

 

24.6

30.5

 

35.7

 

 

Macroeconomic situation

The Catalan economy is highly buoyant. At CaixaBank Research, we estimate that GDP grew by 3.3% in 2024 (3.2% in Spain), thanks to the upturn in employment and tourism, against a backdrop of strong population growth, as it is one of the regions with the fastest-growing populations in recent years: 1.3% in 2024 and 5.2% since 2019 (0.9% and 3.7% in Spain). Construction also performed well and industry and agriculture recovered strongly after a sharp downturn in 2022-2023.

Catalonia will continue to grow at an above-average rate in 2025, albeit at a subdued pace: we forecast GDP growth of 2.5% (2.4% in Spain). We expect investment to gather pace, due to improving financing conditions and the further disbursement of NGEU funds. Therefore, thanks to its highly diversified production sector, the region is better placed to take advantage of these funds.

GDP

Last actualization: 09 July 2025 - 12:55

The Catalonian labour market is performing extremely well, similar to the country as a whole: the number of registered workers affiliated to Social Security rose by 2.4% in 2024, the same rate as in Spain, while in June this year it rose by slightly less, 1.9% year-on-year (vs. 2.2%); over the last year, employment in professional activities, healthcare and, above all, transport has risen sharply. As for the unemployment rate, in Q1 2025 it stood at 8.9%, far below the Spanish average (11.4%).

Consumption remains buoyant, thanks to easing inflation, an increase in job creation and rising wages. The volume of sales of retail and consumer goods rose by 2.3% in 2024 (2.1% in Spain) and picked up speed in the early months of 2025 (2.6% year-on-year up to May vs 3.0%). In turn, after a modest increase in 2024 (2.6% vs. 7.1% on average), passenger car registrations surged in the first half of 2025 (12.9% year-on-year vs. 13.9%).

Amid falling orders and sluggish foreign demand, industrial production practically stagnated in 2022-2023, hit by a poorly performing motor vehicle industry. However, electrical equipment, pharmaceuticals and the food industry showed a more positive trend. The tables were turned last year and the IPI rose by 3.4%, the highest increase of all regions (0.7% for the country as a whole), but 2025 has started with a sharp downturn (−1.8% year-on-year up to April vs. −0.3%).

There was a slight decline in exports of goods in 2024 (–0.5% vs. 0.2% in Spain), hampered by sluggish European demand. There was a sharp fall in sales of energy products – hit by lower prices –, industrial machinery and, above all, products from the motor vehicle industry, whereas sales of food and chemical products rose. In January-April 2025 they improved: 1.2% year-on-year (vs 0.8%). Tourism continued to make steady progress in 2024, although it was slightly below the average: the number of overnight stays rose by 3.6% (vs 4.4%) and the number of foreign visitors increased by 9.7% (vs 10.1%). In January-May 2025, there was a fall in the number of overnight stays (–1.3% year-on-year vs 0.5%), although the number of tourist arrivals continues to break records (2.2% vs. 5.5%).

Retail trade

Last actualization: 09 July 2025 - 12:55

Exports of goods

Last actualization: 09 July 2025 - 12:55

Table of indicators

 

 

2014-2019 average

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Latest figure

Activity and prices

Real GDP *
(% year-on-year change)

3.0

–11.9

7.2

6.5

2.5

3.3

 

2024

2.8

–10.9

6.7

6.2

2.7

3.2

 

Retail trade
(% cumulative annual change)

1.4

–8.2

4.2

1.1

2.7

2.3

2.6

May-25

2.3

–5.2

3.6

0.8

2.9

2.1

3.0

Industrial production index
(% cumulative annual change)

1.8

–9.3

8.3

0.6

–0.6

3.4

–1.8

April-25

1.8

–9.2

7.1

2.3

–1.6

0.7

–0.3

Service activity index
(% cumulative annual change)

4.6

–15.6

20.4

16.5

2.7

3.4

3.0

April-25

5.1

–15.6

22.0

18.3

2.2

3.0

4.3

Consumer price index
(% year-on-year change)

1.0

–0.4

2.9

8.0

3.4

2.8

1.8

May-25

0.7

–0.3

3.1

8.4

3.5

2.8

2.0

          
Labour market

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security
(% year-on-year change)

3.4

-2.4

2.4

3.9

2.8

2.4

1.9

June-25

3.2

–2.1

2.5

3.9

2.7

2.4

2.2

Registered workers affiliated to Social Security not affected by furlough
(% year-on-year change)

3.4

–10.6

7.9

7.8

3.6

2.6

2.1

June-25

3.2

–9.2

7.3

7.3

3.4

2.7

2.4

Unemployment rate
(% working population)

15.1

12.6

11.7

10.0

9.3

8.9

8.9

Q1 2025

18.8

15.5

14.9

13.0

12.2

11.3

11.4

Unemployment rate for under 25s
(% working population < 25)

35.2

34.0

28.9

24.4

22.4

22.0

20.4

Q1 2025

42.5

38.3

44.5

24.4

28.8

24.1

26.5

          
Public sector

Public deficit
(% of GDP)

-1.3

–0.5

–0.4

–1.4

–1.4

–0.4

–0.3

Q1 2025

–0.9

–0.2

0.0

–1.1

–0.9

–0.1

–0.3

Autonomous Communities public debt
(% of GDP)

33.9

37.0

35.1

32.7

30.5

29.7

29.6

Q1 2025

23.9

26.9

25.3

23.1

21.7

21.1

21.0

          
Real estate market

Housing prices
(% year-on-year change)

7.1

2.0

3.5

7.1

3.5

7.4

11.7

Q1 2025

5.3

2.1

3.7

7.4

4.0

8.4

12.2

Housing sales
(% cumulative annual change)

11.1

–18.7

35.3

15.1

–10.5

8.3

17.5

April-25

9.7

–16.9

34.8

14.8

–10.2

9.9

16.0

          
Foreign sector and tourism

Exports of goods
(% cumulative annual change)

4.2

–10.0

21.1

17.9

6.1

–0.5

1.2

April-25

3.9

–9.4

20.1

22.9

–1.4

0.2

0.8

Tourist overnight stays
(% cumulative annual change)

3.0

–71.2

85.3

78.2

7.2

3.6

–1.3

May-25

3.0

–69.2

78.3

73.3

7.1

4.4

0.5

Note: *The 2024 GDP figure for Autonomous Communities is an estimate made by CaixaBank Research.

Source: CaixaBank Research, based on data from the National Statistics Institute (INE), the Bank of Spain, the Ministry of Labour, Migration and Social Security (MITRAMISS), the Ministry of Finance and DataComex.

Regional comparison

Below we show a series of charts comparing the main indicators for the various regions.

Regional comparison

Last actualization: 02 December 2025 - 08:30

Exports of goods from Catalonia

 

TOTAL

To the US

 

Millions of euros

% total exports in region

% exports from sector in Spain

Millions of euros

% total exports in region to US

% exports from sector in Spain to US

% exports from sector in region

Food15,14215.121.149811.514.53.3

Meat

4,916

4.9

39.5

66

1.5

31.8

1.3

Dairy and eggs

463

0.5

18.4

4

0.1

3.1

0.9

Fish

477

0.5

9.0

42

1.0

14.3

8.7

Cereals

83

0.1

13.3

0

0.0

2.9

0.5

Fruit and pulses

1,984

2.0

8.1

27

0.6

4.4

1.4

Sugar, coffee and cocoa

1,428

1.4

44.1

63

1.5

29.6

4.4

Processed foods

1,929

1.9

29.1

51

1.2

13.5

2.7

Beverages

1,250

1.2

23.9

91

2.1

22.9

7.3

Tobacco

22

0.0

4.9

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Fats and oils

1,737

1.7

20.3

147

3.4

12.8

8.4

Seeds and oleaginous fruits

28

0.0

13.7

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Animal feed

825

0.8

41.1

6

0.1

33.1

0.8

Energy products4,1704.214.81202.89.82.9
Commodities1,7481.720.2681.624.63.9

Animals and vegetables

745

0.7

21.2

63

1.4

37.7

8.4

Minerals

1,002

1.0

19.5

5

0.1

5.0

0.5

Semi-finished goods36,16836.136.12,13949.236.85.9

Non-ferrous metals

1,179

1.2

13.8

11

0.3

9.0

0.9

Iron and steel

1,396

1.4

15.3

36

0.8

8.8

2.6

Chemical products

30,574

30.5

48.7

1,955

44.9

55.2

6.4

Paper

1,555

1.6

30.7

77

1.8

37.9

4.9

Construction materials

799

0.8

10.2

34

0.8

3.2

4.3

Tyres and inner tubes

70

0.1

2.0

0

0.0

0.1

0.4

Capital goods15,25015.220.588820.417.05.8

Industrial machinery

5,233

5.2

28.0

456

10.5

26.3

8.7

Office and telecommunications eq.

1,044

1.0

20.2

38

0.9

20.7

3.6

Transport equipment

644

0.6

3.7

38

0.9

7.6

5.9

Engines

75

0.1

1.9

18

0.4

3.1

23.9

Electrical appliances

4,701

4.7

30.3

136

3.1

10.2

2.9

Precision equipment

1,109

1.1

36.3

46

1.1

18.0

4.2

Motor vehicle industry14,48514.527.21673.831.21.2
Consumer durables1,6151.627.1561.322.03.5

Domestic appliances

386

0.4

20.8

5

0.1

10.5

1.4

Consumer electronics

65

0.1

19.4

1

0.0

27.9

1.7

Furniture

971

1.0

31.2

44

1.0

24.2

4.5

Consumer goods10,53910.530.83828.828.93.6

Textiles

5,919

5.9

31.0

124

2.8

41.7

2.1

Footwear

509

0.5

13.9

18

0.4

8.4

3.5

Toys

968

1.0

52.8

10

0.2

17.9

1.0

Pottery

31

0.0

25.4

2

0.0

15.2

5.1

Jewellery and watches

480

0.5

42.0

78

1.8

60.9

16.2

Leather and leather goods

255

0.3

48.2

3

0.1

30.8

1.0

Other goods1,0161.012.8330.733.23.2

TOTAL

100,133

100.0

26.0

4,351

100.0

23.9

4.3

Note: Figures from 2024.

Source: CaixaBank Research, based on data from DataComex.

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