Financial markets

Download forecasts with data and variable definitions

Forecasts | Financial markets

Average for the last month in the period, unless otherwise specified

	Average 2000-2007	Average 2008-2019	Average 2020-2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Interest rates
Dollar
Fed funds (lower limit)	3.18	0.54	1.75	4.25	3.50	4.00	3.50
3-month SOFR	3.62	1.01	2.09	4.37	3.71	4.22	3.72
12-month SOFR	3.86	1.48	2.39	4.19	3.48	4.22	3.77
2-year government bonds	3.70	1.04	2.06	4.24	3.51	4.45	3.75
10-year government bonds	4.69	2.57	2.31	4.40	4.14	5.20	4.60
Euro
ECB depo	2.05	0.20	0.61	3.09	2.00	2.75	2.50
ECB ref	3.05	0.75	1.11	3.24	2.15	2.90	2.65
€STR	—	-0.54	0.52	3.06	1.93	2.68	2.43
1-month Euribor	3.18	0.50	0.57	2.89	1.92	2.80	2.53
3-month Euribor	3.24	0.65	0.70	2.83	2.05	2.89	2.59
6-month Euribor	3.29	0.78	0.87	2.63	2.14	3.11	2.62
12-month Euribor	3.40	0.96	1.04	2.44	2.27	3.39	2.65
Germany
2-year government bonds	3.41	0.35	0.56	2.02	2.13	3.04	2.40
10-year government bonds	4.30	1.54	0.72	2.22	2.84	3.30	3.00
Spain
3-year government bonds	3.62	1.69	0.92	2.26	2.39	3.44	2.91
5-year government bonds	3.91	2.19	1.07	2.48	2.64	3.59	3.15
10-year government bonds	4.42	3.17	1.61	2.90	3.28	3.80	3.55
Risk premium	11	164	90	68	45	50	55
Portugal
3-year government bonds	3.68	3.33	0.76	2.03	2.16	2.98	2.48
5-year government bonds	3.96	3.94	0.98	2.15	2.49	3.23	2.85
10-year government bonds	4.49	4.67	1.52	2.68	3.14	3.70	3.50
Risk premium	19	314	81	46	31	40	50
Exchange rates
EUR/USD (dollars per euro)	1.13	1.26	1.12	1.05	1.17	1.17	1.18
EUR/GBP (pounds per euro)	0.66	0.84	0.87	0.83	0.88	0.90	0.90
EUR/JPY (yen per euro)	129.56	126.41	135.43	161.18	182.71	180.00	175.00
Oil price
Brent ($/barrel)	42.3	80.1	73.8	73.1	61.6	83.7	75.9
Brent (euros/barrel)	36.4	62.5	67.0	69.8	52.6	71.8	64.3

Forecast

Update date 09-06-2026