What markets tell us about macroeconomics Financial markets Isabela Lara White Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno Mon, 05/18/2026 - 11:00
Dependencias estratégicas y exposición geopolítica del sector exterior español Catalina Becu Jue, 28/05/2026 - 06:30
Shadows (and some light) in Europe’s industrial decline International economy David Martínez Turégano Mon, 05/18/2026 - 11:13
Financial Markets Daily Report 08 June 2026 Investors shifted gears across asset classes on Friday, as the US employment report showed robust job growth in May for a third month in a row. The resilient labour market and inflation risks led markets to fully price in a Fed rate hike by year‑end. US Treasury yields rose accordingly, especially at the short end, further flattening the curve. Currencies EUR/USD EUR/USD has traded largely sideways since mid‑2025, hovering around 1.17, after a year of elevated volatility. The currency pair appears to have stabilised between its long‑term historical averages, around 1.12 (10‑year average) and 1.22 dollars per euro (20‑year… CaixaBank Research 28 May 2026 Artificial intelligence (AI) AI adoption in Spanish firms is advancing rapidly but remains limited and uneven The adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in Spanish firms has accelerated in recent years, but the process has been uneven and remains incomplete. This article analyses the extent of AI penetration considering four key dimensions: company size, sectoral differences,… Javier García Arenas Pedro Álvarez Ondina 18 May 2026 Tourism What do high-frequency data tell us about international tourism in Spain after the outbreak of the war in Iran? International tourism spending accelerated slightly in March 2026, driven by the redirection towards Spain of tourist flows from the main European source countries. This upturn offset the decline in tourism from East Asia, which, although intense, represents only a small… David Cesar Heymann 18 May 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy remains resilient in an uncertain environment The latest indicators depict an economy that remains resilient amid the entrenchment of the conflict in the Persian Gulf. Among the various channels through which this conflict can affect the economy, the most visible impact so far is in inflation, through the rise in… CaixaBank Research 18 May 2026 European Union Shadows (and some light) in Europe’s industrial decline David Martínez Turégano 18 May 2026 Financial markets What markets tell us about macroeconomics Isabela Lara White Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 18 May 2026 Artificial intelligence (AI) The AI buzz in financial markets CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026 Artificial intelligence (AI) Productivity and employment in the face of generative AI: what do we know? Oriol Carreras Baquer 14 May 2026 Portugal outlook Portugal: the effects of the conflict begin to show through CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026 Financial markets outlook Financial markets: a disconnect between risk and energy? CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026 Publications Monthly ReportNo. 511| The present and futures of the new AIconomy May 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook12 May 2026 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook13 February 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial Economy and markets between two tides: geopolitics and artificial intelligence José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month Hormuz: time is against us Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Recommended Artificial intelligence (AI) AI adoption in Spanish firms is advancing rapidly but remains limited and uneven Javier García Arenas Pedro Álvarez Ondina 18 May 2026 Tourism What do high-frequency data tell us about international tourism in Spain after the outbreak of the war in Iran? David Cesar Heymann 18 May 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy remains resilient in an uncertain environment CaixaBank Research 18 May 2026 European Union Shadows (and some light) in Europe’s industrial decline David Martínez Turégano 18 May 2026 Financial markets What markets tell us about macroeconomics Isabela Lara White Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 18 May 2026 Artificial intelligence (AI) The AI buzz in financial markets CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026 Artificial intelligence (AI) Productivity and employment in the face of generative AI: what do we know? Oriol Carreras Baquer 14 May 2026 Portugal outlook Portugal: the effects of the conflict begin to show through CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026 Financial markets outlook Financial markets: a disconnect between risk and energy? CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026Most readExposure of the Chinese economy to a US tariff hikeShadows (and some light) in Europe’s industrial declineNGEU: an opportunity to relaunch Spain’s real estate sectorHow do we spend throughout the month?The crisis tiptoes through the real estate sector NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Monetary and fiscal policy Climate change & green transition Podcasts La economía de la IA: de la carrera global a la productividad 22/05/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 11-05-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.00 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.15 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 11-05-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 0.8 1.5 1.3 1.5 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.6 2.0 Team Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Roser FerrerSenior economist Léopold JouvenEconomist Enric FernándezChief Economist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Meet us Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Patricia EstebanCommunication Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Meet us María Romero MeléndezEconomista José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist David del ValSenior economist Meet us Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Jesús ViscarriOrganization Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Meet us Ana María PorrasOrganization Carolina CruzOrganization Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Imelda EstebanSenior economist Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Meet us Nuria BustamanteLead economist Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Sergio DíazEconomist Catalina BecuResearch assistant Meet usPrint
Currencies EUR/USD EUR/USD has traded largely sideways since mid‑2025, hovering around 1.17, after a year of elevated volatility. The currency pair appears to have stabilised between its long‑term historical averages, around 1.12 (10‑year average) and 1.22 dollars per euro (20‑year… CaixaBank Research 28 May 2026
Artificial intelligence (AI) AI adoption in Spanish firms is advancing rapidly but remains limited and uneven The adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in Spanish firms has accelerated in recent years, but the process has been uneven and remains incomplete. This article analyses the extent of AI penetration considering four key dimensions: company size, sectoral differences,… Javier García Arenas Pedro Álvarez Ondina 18 May 2026
Tourism What do high-frequency data tell us about international tourism in Spain after the outbreak of the war in Iran? International tourism spending accelerated slightly in March 2026, driven by the redirection towards Spain of tourist flows from the main European source countries. This upturn offset the decline in tourism from East Asia, which, although intense, represents only a small… David Cesar Heymann 18 May 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy remains resilient in an uncertain environment The latest indicators depict an economy that remains resilient amid the entrenchment of the conflict in the Persian Gulf. Among the various channels through which this conflict can affect the economy, the most visible impact so far is in inflation, through the rise in… CaixaBank Research 18 May 2026
European Union Shadows (and some light) in Europe’s industrial decline David Martínez Turégano 18 May 2026
Financial markets What markets tell us about macroeconomics Isabela Lara White Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 18 May 2026
Artificial intelligence (AI) Productivity and employment in the face of generative AI: what do we know? Oriol Carreras Baquer 14 May 2026
Portugal outlook Portugal: the effects of the conflict begin to show through CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026
Financial markets outlook Financial markets: a disconnect between risk and energy? CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026
Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
Economy and markets between two tides: geopolitics and artificial intelligence José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Artificial intelligence (AI) AI adoption in Spanish firms is advancing rapidly but remains limited and uneven Javier García Arenas Pedro Álvarez Ondina 18 May 2026
Tourism What do high-frequency data tell us about international tourism in Spain after the outbreak of the war in Iran? David Cesar Heymann 18 May 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy remains resilient in an uncertain environment CaixaBank Research 18 May 2026
European Union Shadows (and some light) in Europe’s industrial decline David Martínez Turégano 18 May 2026
Financial markets What markets tell us about macroeconomics Isabela Lara White Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 18 May 2026
Artificial intelligence (AI) Productivity and employment in the face of generative AI: what do we know? Oriol Carreras Baquer 14 May 2026
Portugal outlook Portugal: the effects of the conflict begin to show through CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026
Financial markets outlook Financial markets: a disconnect between risk and energy? CaixaBank Research 14 May 2026