The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester International economy David Martínez Turégano Tue, 07/14/2026 - 08:09
El cambio climático y la fidelización del turismo internacional: nuevas evidencias para España Economía española David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia Mié, 08/07/2026 - 11:58
Financial Markets Daily Report 14 July 2026 Risk aversion intensified on Monday after President Trump reinstated the Hormuz blockade for Iranian ships and imposed a transit levy on non-Iranian cargo, fuelling concerns over energy supply disruptions. Brent crude oil prices rose sharply, inflation expectations moved higher and market volatility increased. World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Dining out in Spain shows a clear pattern of concentration towards the end of the week, with a higher average spend, suggesting an increasing trend towards more social and discretionary consumption, with seasonal variations. Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments In Europe, a significant portion of household wealth remains concentrated in housing and deposits, whereas in the US, the greater presence of investments in stocks and funds reflects the existence of deeper, more liquid and developed capital markets. Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock The conflict in the Middle East has raised European inflation to around 3% and has pushed the ECB out of its comfort zone. On 11 June, the central bank raised interest rates, and both its recent communications and financial market prices suggest that it will do so again… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026 European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026 Opinion The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez 13 July 2026 Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026 Portugal outlook Portugal: confidence levels recover and employment remains strong CaixaBank Research 10 July 2026 Spain Navarre AC 08 July 2026 Publications Monthly ReportJune 2026 | No. 51216 June 2026 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 July 2026 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026Content available in catalan spanish PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook13 February 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month Uncertainty and resilience on the eve of summer José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026 European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026 Opinion The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez 13 July 2026 Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026Most readThe global economy in search of a new balanceWarsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitmentEuropean inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shockThe trajectory of employment growth in SpainThe upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Geopolitics Fundamentals of growth in Spain Podcasts Después de Ormuz: nuevo escenario económico 2026 19/06/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.65 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 0.9 1.5 0.7 1.2 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.1 1.8 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 Team Imelda EstebanSenior economist María Romero MeléndezEconomista Ana María PorrasOrganization Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Meet us Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist Nuria BustamanteLead economist Carolina CruzOrganization Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Catalina BecuResearch assistant Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant Meet us Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Roser FerrerSenior economist David del ValSenior economist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Léopold JouvenEconomist Enric FernándezChief Economist Meet us Sergio DíazEconomist Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Maitane LizarragaAnalyst David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Meet us Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Jesús ViscarriOrganization Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Patricia EstebanCommunication Meet us David Cesar HeymannEconomist Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Meet usPrint
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Dining out in Spain shows a clear pattern of concentration towards the end of the week, with a higher average spend, suggesting an increasing trend towards more social and discretionary consumption, with seasonal variations. Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments In Europe, a significant portion of household wealth remains concentrated in housing and deposits, whereas in the US, the greater presence of investments in stocks and funds reflects the existence of deeper, more liquid and developed capital markets. Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026
Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock The conflict in the Middle East has raised European inflation to around 3% and has pushed the ECB out of its comfort zone. On 11 June, the central bank raised interest rates, and both its recent communications and financial market prices suggest that it will do so again… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026
Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026
Portugal outlook Portugal: confidence levels recover and employment remains strong CaixaBank Research 10 July 2026
Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026Content available in catalan spanish
The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Uncertainty and resilience on the eve of summer José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026
European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026
Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026