CaixaBank Financial Markets Daily Report 13 February 2026 Major stock markets recorded another session of declines, driven by concerns over the potentially disruptive impact of AI across multiple sectors, as investors await Q4 2025 corporate earnings releases. Spain's outlook The Spanish economy faces 2026 with optimism The Spanish economy successfully navigated the trade and geopolitical tensions affecting the global environment in 2025, achieving growth of 2.8%. This figure clearly surpasses both our forecast at the start of year, which was 2.3%, and the euro area’s growth, which stood… CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026 Opinion Dynamic, balanced and sustainable growth The Spanish economy continues to advance at a dynamic pace. For several years now, it has maintained relatively high growth, both from a historical perspective and in comparison with most developed economies. Oriol Aspachs 13 February 2026 World outlook Global stability: superficial mirage or structural strength? The latest update of the IMF's World Economic Outlook highlights stable growth expectations for the global economy (GDP +3.3% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027). Technological dynamism, particularly investment related to AI, continues to sustain economic activity, especially in… CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026 Opinion Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data It is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore the noise caused by the geopolitical context and focus on the signal coming from macroeconomic data. The sense of vulnerability is heightened by the unpredictability surrounding the pace of change in the old international… José Ramón Díez 12 February 2026 Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? David del Val 12 February 2026 Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026 International India 12 February 2026 Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026 Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026 Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026 Publications Monthly Report February 2026 | No. 508 10 February 2026 Sectorial Report Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 Spain Spain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook 13 February 2026 Portugal Portugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook 13 February 2026 Sectorial Report Agrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial Report Real Estate. The Spanish real estate sector is in full expansionary phase S2 2025 Sectorial Report Sectoral Observatory S1 2025 Sectorial Report Manufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial Dynamic, balanced and sustainable growth Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Key points of the month Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended Spain's outlook The Spanish economy faces 2026 with optimism CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026 Opinion Dynamic, balanced and sustainable growth Oriol Aspachs 13 February 2026 World outlook Global stability: superficial mirage or structural strength? CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026 Opinion Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data José Ramón Díez 12 February 2026 Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? David del Val 12 February 2026 Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026 Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026 Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026 Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026 Most read Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens Dynamic, balanced and sustainable growth Hours worked and productivity: is Spain an outlier in the EU? Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data Newsletter Being informed now is more important than ever Get our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Real-Time Economics Inequality & inclusive growth Podcasts Del laberinto geopolítico a la productividad: claves económicas para empezar el año 30/01/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Update date 09-02-2026 2023 2024 2025 2026 Fed Funds 5.25 4.25 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 4.50 3.24 2.15 2.15 Macroeconomic Update date 09-02-2026 2023 2024 2025 2026 Euro area GDP 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.2 Spain GDP 2.5 3.5 2.8 2.1 US GDP 2.9 2.8 1.8 1.9 Team Pedro Álvarez Ondina Economist Josep Mestres Domènech Lead economist Carolina Cruz Organization María Romero Meléndez Economista Maitane Lizarraga Analyst Javier García Arenas Senior economist Marina Tombas Suñé Data Scientist Meet us David del Val Senior economist Isabela Lara White Economist Ana María Porras Organization Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno Research assistant Zoel Martín Vilató Economist Jesús Viscarri Organization Sandra Jódar Rosell Director of Strategic Planning Meet us Sergio Díaz Economist David Cesar Heymann Economist Oriol Carreras Baquer Senior economist Roser Ferrer Senior economist Mar Bisquert Perles Data scientist Adrià Morron Salmeron Lead economist Beatriz Villafranca Serrano Economist Meet us Mireia Crusells Analyst Ariadna Vidal Martínez Lead economist Imelda Esteban Senior economist Nuria Bustamante Lead economist Judit Montoriol Garriga Lead economist José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Alberto Graziano Senior Data Scientist Meet us Léopold Jouven Economist Rita Sánchez Soliva Economist Patricia Esteban Communication Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa Fuster Economist Eduard Alcobé Garcia Data scientist Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics David Martínez Turégano Senior economist Meet us Ana Rincón García Organization Enric Fernández Chief Economist Catalina Becu Research assistant José Antonio Sánchez Palomino Data scientist Luís Pinheiro de Matos Economist Meet us
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy faces 2026 with optimism The Spanish economy successfully navigated the trade and geopolitical tensions affecting the global environment in 2025, achieving growth of 2.8%. This figure clearly surpasses both our forecast at the start of year, which was 2.3%, and the euro area’s growth, which stood… CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026
Opinion Dynamic, balanced and sustainable growth The Spanish economy continues to advance at a dynamic pace. For several years now, it has maintained relatively high growth, both from a historical perspective and in comparison with most developed economies. Oriol Aspachs 13 February 2026
World outlook Global stability: superficial mirage or structural strength? The latest update of the IMF's World Economic Outlook highlights stable growth expectations for the global economy (GDP +3.3% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027). Technological dynamism, particularly investment related to AI, continues to sustain economic activity, especially in… CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026
Opinion Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data It is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore the noise caused by the geopolitical context and focus on the signal coming from macroeconomic data. The sense of vulnerability is heightened by the unpredictability surrounding the pace of change in the old international… José Ramón Díez 12 February 2026
Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? David del Val 12 February 2026
Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026
Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026
Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026
Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026
Sectorial Report Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
World outlook Global stability: superficial mirage or structural strength? CaixaBank Research 13 February 2026
Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? David del Val 12 February 2026
Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026
Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026
Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026
Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026