CaixaBank Financial Markets Daily Report 21 April 2026 Yesterday's session reverted the growing risk-on sentiment from last week, after developments during the weekend unveiled the fragility of the truce between US and Iran as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz lasted less than 24 hours and the two parties have substantial differences in some of the points needed for an extension of the ceasefire. Activity & growth The crisis in Iran: how much could it affect the Spanish economy? The war in the Middle East could generate a new shock to the global economy that would also affect the Spanish economy. In this article, we analyse the three main channels through which it could do so: the first is inflation, through the rising cost of energy, other… Several authors 17 April 2026 Financial markets outlook The Middle East leaves a «furious» mark on financial markets The war triggered significant risk aversion, leading to stock market declines, spikes in volatility, a flight to safe-haven assets, and a sharp tightening in energy and other commodity prices. This increase in energy prices, in turn, led to a rise in short-term… CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026 European Union How far has the EU progressed on the Competitiveness Compass? The balance of the European Competitiveness Compass in 2026 is positive in terms of orientation and debate, but limited in progress, with key decisions still pending and with an uncertain future in a more complex geopolitical environment. David Martínez Turégano 17 April 2026 Big data The transmission of the interest rate cycle to households in Spain: micro-level evidence of a moderate adjustment and gradual recovery This article confirms, through the use of anonymised high-frequency internal data, how the interest rate hikes and cuts between 2022 and 2025 have affected Spaniards’ consumption. The results show that the monetary policy of the last cycle has clearly influenced household… Several authors 17 April 2026 World outlook An uncertain energy shock hangs over the global economy CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy endures CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026 Energy Spain in the face of the new energy shock: a comparison with Europe Zoel Martín Vilató 16 April 2026 Portugal outlook Portugal: first signs of the impact of the conflict in the Middle East CaixaBank Research 16 April 2026 Opinion Globofriction (chap. 26) Oriol Aspachs 16 April 2026 Opinion World economy: between noise and fury José Ramón Díez 16 April 2026 Publications Monthly Report April 2026 | No. 510 17 April 2026 Sectorial Report Real Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial Report Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 Spain Spain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook 13 April 2026 Portugal Portugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook 13 February 2026 Sectorial Report Agrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial Report Sectoral Observatory S1 2025 Sectorial Report Manufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial Globofriction (chap. 26) Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Key points of the month World economy: between noise and fury José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended Oil The oil market enters unknown territory Luís Pinheiro de Matos 17 April 2026 Activity & growth The crisis in Iran: how much could it affect the Spanish economy? Several authors 17 April 2026 Financial markets outlook The Middle East leaves a «furious» mark on financial markets CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026 European Union How far has the EU progressed on the Competitiveness Compass? David Martínez Turégano 17 April 2026 Big data The transmission of the interest rate cycle to households in Spain: micro-level evidence of a moderate adjustment and gradual recovery Several authors 17 April 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy endures CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026 World outlook An uncertain energy shock hangs over the global economy CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026 Energy Spain in the face of the new energy shock: a comparison with Europe Zoel Martín Vilató 16 April 2026 Portugal outlook Portugal: first signs of the impact of the conflict in the Middle East CaixaBank Research 16 April 2026 Most read The transmission of the interest rate cycle to households in Spain: micro-level evidence of a moderate adjustment and gradual recovery Geoeconomic exposure and strategic relevance of the Middle East The crisis in Iran: how much could it affect the Spanish economy? Energy tensions, inflation and monetary policy in the euro area On the uncertainty of the neutral interest rate Newsletter Being informed now is more important than ever Get our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Reactivation or deceleration? Climate change & green transition Podcasts Guerra en Irán: implicaciones para la economía mundial y para España 16/03/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Update date 10-04-2026 2024 2025 2026 2027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.00 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.15 2.15 Macroeconomic Update date 10-04-2026 2024 2025 2026 2027 Euro area GDP 0.8 1.5 1.3 1.5 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.6 2.0 Team José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Jesús Viscarri Organization Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Sergio Díaz Economist Imelda Esteban Senior economist Adrià Morron Salmeron Lead economist Sandra Jódar Rosell Director of Strategic Planning Meet us María Romero Meléndez Economista Judit Montoriol Garriga Lead economist Luís Pinheiro de Matos Economist Nuria Bustamante Lead economist Ana Rincón García Organization Mireia Crusells Analyst Eduard Alcobé Garcia Data scientist Meet us Mar Bisquert Perles Data scientist Oriol Carreras Baquer Senior economist Josep Mestres Domènech Lead economist Zoel Martín Vilató Economist Alberto Graziano Senior Data Scientist Roser Ferrer Senior economist Pedro Álvarez Ondina Economist Meet us Isabela Lara White Economist José Antonio Sánchez Palomino Data scientist Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno Research assistant Ariadna Vidal Martínez Lead economist Rita Sánchez Soliva Economist Léopold Jouven Economist Javier García Arenas Senior economist Meet us Enric Fernández Chief Economist Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa Fuster Economist Ana María Porras Organization David Martínez Turégano Senior economist Patricia Esteban Communication Maitane Lizarraga Analyst David Cesar Heymann Economist Meet us Carolina Cruz Organization Marina Tombas Suñé Data Scientist Catalina Becu Research assistant David del Val Senior economist Beatriz Villafranca Serrano Economist Meet us
Activity & growth The crisis in Iran: how much could it affect the Spanish economy? The war in the Middle East could generate a new shock to the global economy that would also affect the Spanish economy. In this article, we analyse the three main channels through which it could do so: the first is inflation, through the rising cost of energy, other… Several authors 17 April 2026
Financial markets outlook The Middle East leaves a «furious» mark on financial markets The war triggered significant risk aversion, leading to stock market declines, spikes in volatility, a flight to safe-haven assets, and a sharp tightening in energy and other commodity prices. This increase in energy prices, in turn, led to a rise in short-term… CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026
European Union How far has the EU progressed on the Competitiveness Compass? The balance of the European Competitiveness Compass in 2026 is positive in terms of orientation and debate, but limited in progress, with key decisions still pending and with an uncertain future in a more complex geopolitical environment. David Martínez Turégano 17 April 2026
Big data The transmission of the interest rate cycle to households in Spain: micro-level evidence of a moderate adjustment and gradual recovery This article confirms, through the use of anonymised high-frequency internal data, how the interest rate hikes and cuts between 2022 and 2025 have affected Spaniards’ consumption. The results show that the monetary policy of the last cycle has clearly influenced household… Several authors 17 April 2026
World outlook An uncertain energy shock hangs over the global economy CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026
Energy Spain in the face of the new energy shock: a comparison with Europe Zoel Martín Vilató 16 April 2026
Portugal outlook Portugal: first signs of the impact of the conflict in the Middle East CaixaBank Research 16 April 2026
Sectorial Report Real Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial Report Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
Activity & growth The crisis in Iran: how much could it affect the Spanish economy? Several authors 17 April 2026
Financial markets outlook The Middle East leaves a «furious» mark on financial markets CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026
European Union How far has the EU progressed on the Competitiveness Compass? David Martínez Turégano 17 April 2026
Big data The transmission of the interest rate cycle to households in Spain: micro-level evidence of a moderate adjustment and gradual recovery Several authors 17 April 2026
World outlook An uncertain energy shock hangs over the global economy CaixaBank Research 17 April 2026
Energy Spain in the face of the new energy shock: a comparison with Europe Zoel Martín Vilató 16 April 2026
Portugal outlook Portugal: first signs of the impact of the conflict in the Middle East CaixaBank Research 16 April 2026