CaixaBank Financial Markets Daily Report 12 November 2026 Equities rallied as optimism around AI revived risk appetite, supported by strong revenue outlooks and reports of strong investor demand ahead of Anthropic's IPO. The Nasdaq rose 1.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 (+1.3%), while European markets also advanced, with the Eurostoxx 50 edging 1.0% higher, led by technology and semiconductors gains. Financial markets outlook Risk aversion dominates market sentiment Geopolitical tensions and energy concerns are fuelling market caution, while risk aversion pushes sovereign bond yields lower and European risk premia rise. The ECB and Fed keep rates unchanged, concerns over AI weigh down stocks and the dollar shows volatility. CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026 Financial markets outlook Risk aversion dominates market sentiment Geopolitical tensions and energy concerns are fuelling market caution, while risk aversion pushes sovereign bond yields lower and European risk premia rise. The ECB and Fed keep rates unchanged, concerns over AI weigh down stocks and the dollar shows volatility. CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026 Financial markets Monetary policy 2027: monetary outlook and fiscal implications We are approaching 2027 with expectations of higher interest rates, reflecting the new inflation outlook and the impact of the conflict in the Middle East. In recent months, inflation in Europe and the US has approached 4%, driven by a 20% rise in consumer energy prices.… CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026 Labour market & demographics Public sector Banking Activity & growth Global economic outlook: how much more resilience in 2027? Next year will once again test the resilience of the global economy. Economic policy will have less room to respond, while structural forces such as population ageing and climate change will continue to take effect. David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026 Labour market & demographics The ageing of the workforce: a challenge for Spain and Europe Sergio Díaz 11 November 2026 Migration Migration and migration policy: a global overview Luís Pinheiro de Matos 11 November 2026 Labour market & demographics What can we expect from labour force participation rates in the US and EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026 Interest rates What has driven the global rise in long-term interest rates? David del Val 11 November 2026 World outlook The global economy holds firm as the outlook becomes more challenging CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026 Opinion The limits and strengths of Spain’s economic resilience Oriol Aspachs 11 November 2026 Publications Spain Spain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook 12 November 2026 Portugal Portugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook 12 November 2026 Monthly Report October 2026 | No. 515 15 October 2026 Sectorial Report Agrifood. Cultivating the future: investment, integration and value 2026 Sectorial Report Sectoral Observatory S1 2026 Sectorial Report Real Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial Report Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 Sectorial Report Manufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial The limits and strengths of Spain’s economic resilience Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Key points of the month France in the crosshairs José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended Spain's outlook The Spanish economy holds firm despite uncertainty and the energy shock CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026 Financial markets outlook Risk aversion dominates market sentiment CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026 Financial markets Monetary policy 2027: monetary outlook and fiscal implications CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026 Labour market & demographics Public sector Banking Activity & growth Global economic outlook: how much more resilience in 2027? David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026 Labour market & demographics The ageing of the workforce: a challenge for Spain and Europe Sergio Díaz 11 November 2026 Migration Migration and migration policy: a global overview Luís Pinheiro de Matos 11 November 2026 Labour market & demographics What can we expect from labour force participation rates in the US and EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026 World outlook The global economy holds firm as the outlook becomes more challenging CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026 Interest rates What has driven the global rise in long-term interest rates? David del Val 11 November 2026 Most read Global economic outlook: how much more resilience in 2027? The limits and strengths of Spain’s economic resilience France in the crosshairs 2027: monetary outlook and fiscal implications What can we expect from labour force participation rates in the US and EU? 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El sector agroalimentario español en 2026 30/10/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Update date 09-11-2026 2024 2025 2026 2027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 4.00 3.50 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.90 2.65 Macroeconomic Update date 09-11-2026 2024 2025 2026 2027 Euro area GDP 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.4 Spain GDP 3.7 2.6 2.6 2.0 US GDP 3.0 2.3 2.2 1.9 Team Oriol Carreras Baquer Senior economist Nuria Bustamante Lead economist Ana María Porras Organization Carolina Cruz Organization José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Giuseppe Lista Research assistant Ricard Murillo Gili Economist Meet us Pedro Álvarez Ondina Economist Patricia Esteban Communication Josep Mestres Domènech Lead economist María Romero Meléndez Economista Ana Rincón García Organization Judit Montoriol Garriga Lead economist Mireia Crusells Analyst Meet us Mar Bisquert Perles Data scientist Imelda Esteban Senior economist José Antonio Sánchez Palomino Data scientist Javier García Arenas Senior economist Aleix Cuevas Bullich Consuelo Meza Chávez Research assistant David del Val Senior economist Meet us Sergio Díaz Economist Maitane Lizarraga Analyst Adrià Morron Salmeron Lead economist Sandra Jódar Rosell Director of Strategic Planning David Martínez Turégano Senior economist Ariadna Vidal Martínez Lead economist Marina Tombas Suñé Data Scientist Meet us Léopold Jouven Economist Zoel Martín Vilató Economist Roser Ferrer Senior economist Eduard Alcobé Garcia Data scientist Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa Fuster Economist Alberto Graziano Senior Data Scientist Luís Pinheiro de Matos Economist Meet us Enric Fernández Chief Economist Beatriz Villafranca Serrano Economist Isabela Lara White Economist Jesús Viscarri Organization Rita Sánchez Soliva Economist Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Meet us
Financial markets outlook Risk aversion dominates market sentiment Geopolitical tensions and energy concerns are fuelling market caution, while risk aversion pushes sovereign bond yields lower and European risk premia rise. The ECB and Fed keep rates unchanged, concerns over AI weigh down stocks and the dollar shows volatility. CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026
Financial markets outlook Risk aversion dominates market sentiment Geopolitical tensions and energy concerns are fuelling market caution, while risk aversion pushes sovereign bond yields lower and European risk premia rise. The ECB and Fed keep rates unchanged, concerns over AI weigh down stocks and the dollar shows volatility. CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026
Financial markets Monetary policy 2027: monetary outlook and fiscal implications We are approaching 2027 with expectations of higher interest rates, reflecting the new inflation outlook and the impact of the conflict in the Middle East. In recent months, inflation in Europe and the US has approached 4%, driven by a 20% rise in consumer energy prices.… CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026
Labour market & demographics Public sector Banking Activity & growth Global economic outlook: how much more resilience in 2027? Next year will once again test the resilience of the global economy. Economic policy will have less room to respond, while structural forces such as population ageing and climate change will continue to take effect. David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026
Labour market & demographics The ageing of the workforce: a challenge for Spain and Europe Sergio Díaz 11 November 2026
Labour market & demographics What can we expect from labour force participation rates in the US and EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026
Interest rates What has driven the global rise in long-term interest rates? David del Val 11 November 2026
World outlook The global economy holds firm as the outlook becomes more challenging CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026
Sectorial Report Real Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial Report Tourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy holds firm despite uncertainty and the energy shock CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026
Financial markets outlook Risk aversion dominates market sentiment CaixaBank Research 12 November 2026
Financial markets Monetary policy 2027: monetary outlook and fiscal implications CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026
Labour market & demographics Public sector Banking Activity & growth Global economic outlook: how much more resilience in 2027? David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026
Labour market & demographics The ageing of the workforce: a challenge for Spain and Europe Sergio Díaz 11 November 2026
Labour market & demographics What can we expect from labour force participation rates in the US and EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 November 2026
World outlook The global economy holds firm as the outlook becomes more challenging CaixaBank Research 11 November 2026
Interest rates What has driven the global rise in long-term interest rates? David del Val 11 November 2026