Risk sentiment improved on Thursday, before late-session Hormuz tensions soured it. In commodities, crude oil prices reversed course and ended the day rising after of a missile strike on a container vessel in Hormuz, while natural gas prices of European benchmarks fell. Gold rose on safe-haven demand.
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With no major developments in the peace talks from the Middle East, Friday's session was driven by an increase in risk sentiment, with investors rotating from fixed income to the stock market in the euro area and falling volatility. In the US, markets were closed due to a bank holiday.
Yesterday's session was marked by news that the US and Iran were resuming the strikes as the interim deal between the two countries to end the war was over. Energy prices peaked near European closing, with Brent crude reaching USD 80/barrel to further ease and close the session at USD 78. TTF closed the session up 5% at EUR 49/MWh.
Market sentiment remained downbeat due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and continued weakness in AI-related market segments. In commodities, energy prices lacked clear direction, with Brent edging lower and TTF prices rising. The dollar strengthened modestly against the euro, on expectations of a resilient U.S. economy.
Brent oil and TTF gas whipsawed and stock markets were mixed as hostilities in the Middle East continued to weigh on investor sentiment. Tech equities steadied after last week's rout, but both the S&P 500 and the Eurostoxx closed moderately lower.
Investor sentiment was mixed in yesterday's session. Energy prices crept up as the U.S. and Iran continued to exchange fire and Brent oil briefly topped $95. Stocks rose across Europe but the U.S. S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower amid a mixed performance of tech stocks and ahead of key Q2 earnings releases.
Markets ended Friday with a cautious tone as lower energy prices supported sovereign bond yields amid resilient macroeconomic data. Yields declined on both sides of the Atlantic, more markedly in the euro area, with peripheral spreads tightening, as Brent crude retreated from $100/barrel.
Renewed U.S.-Iran strikes weighed on investor sentiment and led to a volatile session. Energy prices rose, with Brent oil and TTF gas around $90 and €70, respectively. Stock markets declined across the board and the USD weakened against a basket of major currencies, with the euro strengthening moderately above $1.16.
The week started with US markets closed for Labour Day. Elsewhere, energy prices edged higher, lifting eurozone market-based inflation expectations as well as ECB rate expectations. A hike at Thursday's meeting is priced by investors as almost certain, as well as two additional increases discounted over the next twelve months.
El BCE rebaja sus previsiones de crecimiento e inflación en la eurozona a causa de la desaceleración de las economías emergentes y al descenso del precio del pretóleo.
Ayer el Ibex35 se desmarcó ligeramente de las pautas alcistas de otros índices europeos, en una jornada sin sesión en Wall Street y sin grandes novedades en datos macroeconómicos.
Tras una breve tregua, las caídas se imponen de nuevo en las bolsas europeas y americana por las dudas respecto al crecimiento global.
Las bolsas europeas vuelven a caer (-2,0%) por la incertidumbre sobre el crecimiento global, a pesar de un buen dato de actividad, con un PMI en su mayor nivel en cuatro años.
Tono firme de los mercados en la jornada de ayer, que contribuyó a limitar las pérdidas del tercer trimestre, el peor para las bolsas avanzadas desde el año 2011(Eurostoxx 50: -9,5%; S&P500: -6,9%).
La semana comienza con fuertes subidas en las bolsas europeas tras el rebote de algunas materias primas por la debilidad temporal del dólar y la menor probabilidad de la subida de tipos este año.
Un mayor inventario de crudo en EE. UU. de lo esperado ha desinflado el final de la jornada en las bolsas europeas, que aun así han conseguido prolongar su inercia alcista.
La caída en exportaciones en Alemania no ha pesado en las bolsas europeas, que cerraron con leves subidas a la espera de las actas de la Fed y de los resultados empresariales del tercer trimestre.
Las bolsas internacionales logran ligeros avances en una jornada sin datos macroeconómicos de referencia y a la espera de la reunión del BCE. El Ibex 35 (+0,56%) ha estado impulsado por los primeros resultados empresariales (Iberdrola) y por la banca española, que se apuntaba a las subidas antes de empezar a publicar resultados hoy. La banca europea comienza con peor suerte al anunciar Credit Suisse y Nordea menores beneficios de lo previsto.