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Capitalism(s): moving towards a new phase
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https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/monthly-report/447/july-2020/capitalisms-moving-towards-new-phase
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2021 outlook
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Digitalisation and european funds: a winning pair
Dossier
Consumption during the pandemic: a cross section by generation
In a context marked by the uncertainty generated by the tariff tensions, a topic to which we devote several articles, in this Monthly Report we update the economic forecast scenario for 2025 and 2026. We also review the forecasts for the Spanish real estate market, which is in the midst of a boom, and evaluate the economic recovery of the province of Valencia six months after the floods.
We dedicate the dossier of the December issue to one of the major determining factors for social well-being and cohesion: inequality. Through the monthly monitoring of internal data that we have carried out since the pandemic, we are able to confirm the downward trend of inequality in Spain, contrary to that observed in the main developed economies, and we stop to examine the recent evolution of Spain’s middle class. In other articles of the report, also using internal data, we analyse the economic impact of the floods in Valencia and how households in Catalan municipalities in a state of drought adjusted their water consumption. In addition, we study the exposure of the Spanish, European and Chinese economies to tariff hikes in the United States.
Los parqués europeos cierran con caídas tras la apertura en negativo del S&P, por las exportaciones netas Chinas, y con las dudas sobre la coalición de gobierno en Portugal.
In the last trading session before Christmas, stock markets declined and long-term sovereign yields remained stable (with the exception of Portugal, whose risk premium undid part of the week's strong decline as investors are still calibrating the implications of the improved sovereign rating)
European stock markets were mixed as they recorded moderate losses in Germany and France, remained stable in Spain and advanced in Portugal.
Stock markets rose in the U.S. but experienced widespread declines in Europe. In fixed-income markets, U.S. sovereign yields ticked up and European yields remained stable (with the exception of Portugal's).
U.S. stock markets declined for the first time in the week while European stocks were mixed, with small losses in Germany, and moderate gains in France, Italy, Spain and Portugal.
Markets ended the week with a relatively quiet session. The main U.S. and euro area stock market indices posted moderate gains, but in Spain and Portugal stocks suffered a small decline.
Geopolitical events (the diplomatictensions between Canada and Saudi Arabia and the impositions of sanctions to Russia from the U.S.) had a muted effect on advancedeconomies' stock markets. In Europe, the mainstock indices experienced moderate losses, except in Portugal and in the U.K., while the S&P 500 remained unchanged. Instead, trade tensions between China and the U.S. weighted on Chinese equity indices.
In fixed-income markets, U.S. and German sovereign yields ticked up. Sovereign spreads declined in Spain and Portugal but rose in Italy.
Portugal aceleró su ritmo de crecimiento hasta el 2,8% interanual en el 1T, 8 décimas por encima del registro del 4T 2016.
El PIB de Portugal creció un 2,8% interanual (0,2% intertrimestral) en el 2T 2017, el mismo registro que en el trimestre anterior.
El crecimiento del PIB en el 2T 2017 avanzó un 2,9% interanual (0,3% intertrimestral), un dato algo superior al avance del INE del país hace dos semanas.
PIB de Portugal creció un 0,5% intertrimestral (2,5% interanual) en el 3T 2017, 2 décimas por encima del avance del trimestre anterior.
Portugal registró un ritmo de crecimiento del 2,5% interanual en el 3T, 5 décimas por debajo del registro del 2T 2017.
La economía portuguesa mantuvo el dinamismo en el 4T 2017, con un ritmo de avance sólido y superior al promedio de los tres primeros trimestres del año (0,6% intertrimestral).