December 2020 | No. 451

December 2020 | No. 451

December 2020 | No. 451

Dossier

2021 outlook

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Print

Perspectivas 2021

Editorial

Outlook: year 1 after the pandemic

Enric Fernandez CaixaBank Research

Enric Fernández

Key points of the month

China, and the rest of the world

Oriol Aspachs CaixaBank Research

Forecasts and indicators

Forecasts Key indicators

Financial markets

Economic outlook

Optimism returns to the financial markets

International economy

Economic outlook

The vaccine illuminates a difficult end to the year

Focus

COVID-19 and inflation: a statistically significant impact

Luís Pinheiro de Matos

Ricard Murillo Gili

Focus

Mobility and economic activity in the second wave: how much will GDP fall by in Q4?

Several authors

Focus

US: what will the new administration bring?

Clàudia Canals

Spanish economy

Economic outlook

Spain: a difficult end to the year and a recalibration of forecasts

Focus

The awakening of e-commerce in the retail sector

Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa Fuster

Eduard Llorens i Jimeno

Portuguese economy

Economic outlook

Portugal: strong resilience and the vaccine, key for 2021

Focus

The Portuguese public accounts in the context of the pandemic

Vânia Duarte

Dossier

2021 outlook

2021, a year of change

Àlex Ruiz

Post-COVID-19 Europe: a story of convergence or divergence?

Álvaro Leandro

The market-macroeconomic connection in times of pandemic

Adrià Morron Salmeron

2021: notable but incomplete recovery of the Spanish economy

Oriol Carreras Baquer

Javier García Arenas