Risk-off mode in financial markets during yesterday's session as investors digested the US Administration's announcement on Saturday of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China. Tariffs on Mexico were paused later in the day, adding more uncertainty around US tariffs policy, its duration, and its magnitude.
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Sentiment recovered during yesterday’s session, as investors digested the announcement that US tariffs on Mexico and Canada will be delayed for at least one month. Trade war uncertainty, however, concentrated in Asia, as China announced retaliatory tariffs on targeted products coming from the US, to take effect next Monday.
A relative sense of caution prevailed in the US stock market, ahead of corporate earnings and January’s jobs data, while stocks edged up in the eurozone.
In yesterday's session, markets reacted positively to signs US reciprocal tariffs on its trade partners may be weeks from coming into effect, raising the prospect for negotiations that could make them less punitive.
Markets were mixed during yesterday's session, ahead of macroeconomic data to be released on both sides of the Atlantic today and Friday. In the US, sovereign bond yields fell following news that potential US tariffs on Mexico and Canada, currently on pause, could be reinstated later than originally anticipated.
Generalized risk-off session as trade tensions intensified. Following the new round of US tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese imports, China imposed a 10-15% tariff on US agricultural products, Canada announced 25% tariffs on C$30 billion worth of U.S. imports, and Mexico stated it would announce tariffs over the weekend.
In yesterday’s session, investor concerns over the impact of the trade war intensified after Donald Trump announced that all finished automobile imports will be subject to a 25% tariff from next Thursday. Global equity markets recorded losses, with major automakers experiencing significant share drops.
Markets ended the week in a risk-off mode as investors focused on Trump's announcement due on Wednesday of a tariff hike that seeks to match tariffs on US products in other countries.
So-called 'Liberation Day' tariffs announced by the Trump's administration on Wednesday evening had a substantial negative impact on financial markets during yesterday’s session. From a minimum 10% tariff on all countries, up to an accumulated tariff over 50% on China, investors began to price in slower growth as global trade starts to adapt to the tariffs shock.
Financial markets continued on a risk-off mode during Friday's session, as investors tried to assess the potential consequences of China retaliating on US tariffs, enacting duties on all US imports and export controls on rare earths. In this context, US sovereign yields fell, as investors expected the Federal Reserve will cut its intervention rate twice by July.
Yesterday marked the third consecutive session with an intense risk-off mode and high volatility in financial markets amid heightened tariff uncertainty and ongoing fears of a global economic slowdown. In this context, sovereign bond yields increased on both sides of the Atlantic, with euro area peripheral risk premia edging higher.
Global markets endured heightened volatility on Thursday following President Trump's surprise announcement of a 90-day suspension of tariffs for most countries, excluding China. The European Union responded by delaying the implementation of its reciprocal measures.
Global financial markets had a subdued start to the week on Easter Monday, with only the US and Asian markets open, while European markets remained closed.
Financial markets traded cautiously during yesterday's session, ahead of Q1 GDP growth data to be released today, both for the US and for the euro area. Yesterday’s preliminary data showed Spanish GDP grew +0.6% qoq (+2.8% yoy) in Q1. Euro area Economic Sentiment Indicator dropped to 93.6 in April from 95.0 in March, and below market expectations of 94.5.
Investors traded cautiously during yesterday's session despite some political noise in Germany, where Frerich Merz was finally elected chancellor in a second round of voting, after having surprisinly lost in the first round. Euro area sovereign bond yields edged only slightly higher, peripheral risk premia held steady, and the region's main equity indices ended lower.
Risk appetite remained relatively high in the market yesterday as US inflation figures for April came in slightly below expectations at 2.3% YoY, with core inflation holding at 2.8%. Separately, the NFIB survey showed that small business optimism fell moderately in April. Against this backdrop, US Treasury yields were broadly unchanged.
In yesterday's session, global financial markets delivered a mixed performance, shaped by the release of subdued economic data and growing expectations of potential interest rate cuts in the US. Investors also remained cautious amid ongoing speculation over possible peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.
Financial markets ended the week on a slightly positive note. News from early in the week of US-China trade negotiations helped sustain sentiment in equity markets, despite survey data showing a sharp deterioration in US consumer sentiment and an uptick in inflation expectations.
Relatively quiet session in financial markets, with no major macroeconomic data released and U.S. markets closed for Memorial Day. Sentiment in the euro area was supported by President Trump’s decision to extend the deadline for imposing 50% tariffs on EU imports to July 9, easing immediate trade tensions.
Investors traded cautiously during yesterday’s session, awaiting progress in trade negotiations and digesting the latest minutes from the Fed’s May meeting, which revealed officials’ concerns about inflation, growth, and financial market volatility amid ongoing trade tensions.