Investor sentiment was cautiously positive on Thursday, supported by lower oil prices amid optimism that Iran and the US may be moving closer to a provisional peace deal, despite continued clashes involving both countries, as well as between Israel and Lebanon.
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Risk appetite stabilised on Monday after early pressure from Middle East escalation, firmer Fed rate-hike expectations and a continued tech-led correction, with a late rebound in US equities containing losses. In commodities, Brent crude rose on renewed Iran–Israel tensions, though intraday headlines improved the outlook and capped gains.
Risk-off sentiment built through Thursday’s session, initially driven by AI-led weakness in tech, followed by a mixed May US CPI (headline in line with expectations and core MoM below), and later by renewed geopolitical tensions after Trump announced a second round of US strikes on Iran, which started already around the US close.
Yesterday's session was marked by late optimism after President Trump called off the US-planned strikes on Iran, after reportedly having advanced negotiations with Tehran. Brent crude prices dropped nearly 3%, to settle just above $90/bbl, while gold rebounded more than 3%, being priced above $4200/ounce at session-ending.
Wednesday saw a mixed session, as easing geopolitical tensions drove down commodities and sovereign yields, while equities remained pressured by concerns around tech companies' valuations. In commodities, energy prices declined, led by Brent crude, while gold fell on the back of a stronger dollar and higher expected real rates.
Risk sentiment improved on Thursday, before late-session Hormuz tensions soured it. In commodities, crude oil prices reversed course and ended the day rising after of a missile strike on a container vessel in Hormuz, while natural gas prices of European benchmarks fell. Gold rose on safe-haven demand.
Investors' risk appetite remained subdued on Friday, as lower oil prices prevailed despite heightened disruption risks in the Strait of Hormuz, where a UK Navy-confirmed tanker strike on late Thursday temporarily raised maritime threat levels.
Risk aversion intensified on Monday after President Trump reinstated the Hormuz blockade for Iranian ships and imposed a transit levy on non-Iranian cargo, fuelling concerns over energy supply disruptions. Brent crude oil prices rose sharply, inflation expectations moved higher and market volatility increased.
Las bolsas europeas han registrado leves descensos en una jornada marcada por el discurso de Theresa May sobre las negociaciones del brexit.
Investors have been relatively cautious as they continue to assess Trump's tax proposal. As a consequence, stock markets remained relatively stable.
Stock markets advanced in Europe and the US as German sovereign yields remained stable and US yields edged up.
US stock markets slipped in a low-volume session in which treasury markets were closed for the Columbus Day holiday.
Markets were relatively quiet, with mild movements in stock markets (advancing in the US and retracing in Europe) and stable sovereign yields.
Stocks and sovereign yields retreated as investors weighted the Federal Reserve's next policy move.
Investors remained relatively cautious with small gains in most of the developed stock markets and slight decrease in European sovereign yields.
Last week, markets closed on a relative stable note with slight rebounds in sovereign debt yields and relative stability in most of the developed stock markets.
Investors remain prudent as the earnings season unfold.
As expected, the European Central Bank announced its plan to halve its monthly bond purchases to 30 billion euros starting in January.
Stocks climbed in Asia and the US but slipped in Europe and sovereign yields declined.
Stock markets were mixed, with moderate advances in the US and small losses in Europe.