Volatility declined and stock markets steadied as market sentiment was encouraged by strong Q3 U.S. GDP data (+7.3% qoq and -2.9% yoy) and investors weighed the prospect of renewed ECB stimulus against a worsening euro area economic outlook.
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Investors traded with an optimistic tone ahead of the US Presidential elections as October's manufacturing sentiment data surprised to the upside in most regions. In particular, Spain's manufacturing PMI rose from 50.8 in the previous month to 52.8, the euro area's to 54.8 from 54.4 and the manufacturing ISM for the US rose to 59.3 from 55.4.
European sovereign yields edged lower in yesterday's trading session following a speech by ECB chief Christine Lagarde in which she signalled further monetary easing. In her speech, Lagarde emphasised the importance of the duration, and not only the size, of monetary accomodation, and identified PEPP and TLTROs as the main crisis tools.
Investors exhibited a mixed mood in yesterday's session as they pondered on increasing infections and tighter restrictions. Volatility edged up and stocks advanced moderately across Europe and EM, while U.S. equities declined in spite of Pfizer's announcement that it will apply for the FDA emergency authorization of its vaccine within days.
Investors turned more cautious in yesterday's session. Stocks declined across Europe (at yesterday's EU leaders' videoconference there was no progress on the veto that is paralyzing the EU budget and the NGEU package), while U.S. stocks closed moderately higher amid reports that Congress will resume negotiations on a fiscal stimulus.
Investors continued to trade cautiously in yesterday's session as COVID-19 cases continued rising in Europe and in the US. In this context, demand for safe assets (such as the Japanese Yen or the Swiss Franc) increased on a day in which US markets were closed due to the Thanksgiving holiday.
Investors traded in a mixed mood in the first two sessions of the week. EM stocks were mixed and European equities nudged down, while U.S. stocks continued to advance on the back of health equities (the FDA signaled it will give the go-ahead to the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine soon) and on greater hopes for a new fiscal package.
Markets ended mixed after a more cautious session. Volatility nudged up and European and EM stocks were mixed, while weakness in some technology shares dragged down U.S. stocks.
Investors continued to trade cautiously in yesterday's session as EU policymakers relaunched Europe's economic stimulus and amid signals that U.S. activity is losing steam (initial unemployment claims jumped to a 3-month high). Stock markets were mixed, the USD weakened and sovereign yields were little changed.
The accommodative monetary policy stance confirmed in yesterday's Federal Reserve's meeting and the better-than-expected December flash PMIs in the euro area kept optimism among investors. In particular, the manufacturing indices were expected to fall but managed to increase, and the services indices rose but remained below 50.
Investors traded cautiously in yesterday's session. European stocks rebounded from Monday's sell-off while most other benchmarks were mixed.
Financial markets closed the first week of 2021 on a strong note as both European and U.S. stock markets posted their strongest weekly gains since November.
Tuesday's session was mixed, as investors weighed worries of further restrictions to stem the spread of the virus in Europe against prospects of additional fiscal stimulus in the United States.
Volatility declined and stock markets advanced moderately in a session dominated by news of fresh extensions to coronavirus lockdowns in Europe and China.
Markets ended the week on a cautious note as investors worried over deteriorating pandemic dynamics (compounded by news suggesting that the British strain of the coronavirus could be deadlier) and euro area indicators pointed at a decline in activity in January (the area-wide flash composite PMI nudged down to 47.5 points).
Volatility increased in the first session of the week as investors pondered over worsening pandemic dynamics. Stocks were mixed, advancing moderately in the U.S. and in emerging Asia while retreating across euro area core and peripheral countries.
Investors traded cautiously in yesterday's session. The IMF updated its global economic forecasts – raising world GDP growth in 2021 to 5.5% but lowering the euro area's 2021 projections to 4.2% (-1.0pp). Spain's 2021 GDP growth forecast was lowered to 5.9% (-1.3pp).
Stocks slid in Europe amid rising concerns over delays to the vaccine rollout in the continent and the economic impact of a new strain of COVID-19. A vaccine produced by AstraZeneca and Oxford University was approved by the EU's regulator on Friday but difficulties in delivering shipments to the bloc are leading to rising tensions.
Investors traded in a risk-on mood yesterday amid better-than-expected GDP data in the eurozone (-0.7% qoq in Q4) and a continuation of stimulus negotiations in the US.
In the last session of a volatile week, stock indices declined across the board and yields on sovereign bonds edged down in the euro area and in the US. In particular, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury fell by 12 basis points and fluctuated again below 1.50%.