Financial markets continued on a risk-off mode during Friday's session, as investors tried to assess the potential consequences of China retaliating on US tariffs, enacting duties on all US imports and export controls on rare earths. In this context, US sovereign yields fell, as investors expected the Federal Reserve will cut its intervention rate twice by July.
Resultados de la búsqueda
Investors closed the week extending their appetite for risk, albeit consolidating and taking profits after the rebound recorded across asset classes in the previous sessions. Sentiment was also lifted by a positive start of the Q2 corporate earnings seasons, with better-than-expected results for the reporting large US banks.
Sentiment in sovereign bond markets during yesterday's session turned more positive following the revision of US GDP Q1, which showed the economy grew somewhat less than previously estimated (0.33% vs 0.42% q/q), giving the Federal Reserve more room to lower interest rates this year. Yields on sovereign bonds fell across the board.
Solid US economic data released yesterday showed a still resilient economy reinforcing the the case for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer. September US industrial production rose to the highest level in nearly five years to 103.6 and retail sales increased 0.7%, up from 0.6% beating expectations.
Most of the global stock markets indices registered gains on Thursday even if increases were more moderate in Europe.
In the last session of the week, investors continued to trade with a risk-on mode, taking on board the fall in HICP inflation in the eurozone (9.2% in December after 10.1%) and the US employment report for December. On balance, the data suggested central banks will continue hiking policy interest rates but likely at a reduced pace.
Financial markets recorded a positive start of the week, supported by the better-than-expected Q4 GDP print in China (4% y/y) and positive expectations for the corporate earnings season later this week.
Investors are starting the year cautiously as risk appetite seems to have eased over the holidays. As central bank officials tried to push market expectations of imminent rate cuts, although these expectations remain anchored in March for the Fed and April for the ECB, government bond yields rose across the board, particularly in the euro area.
In the first session of the week, investors traded cautiously amid hawkish comments from some FOMC member and mixed results in the US corporate earnings season. In particular, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said that more evidence that US inflation is easing will be needed before changing the monetary policy stance.
Global stocks tumbled on Tuesday, with the tech sector in Europe suffering its biggest drop since October, mirroring a selloff on the Nasdaq (-1.9%, sharpest fall since March). The decline was driven by comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warning that interest rates may need to rise to prevent the economy from overheating.
The future path of central bank official interest rates continued to be the main driver in financial markets, as investors reacted to the US Federal reserve meeting and to several ECB members’ speeches.
In yesterday session, stock indices declined in the US, after several weak Q2 corporate results, and in Europe, after Draghi missed market expectations since they expected a more dovish press conference.
Treasury yields fell as Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified before Congress that rising inflation is likely to be transitory and that the central bank would continue to support the economy. The Bank of Japan left its 10-year bond yield target unchanged at about 0% after concluding its meeting and also kept the policy-balance rate at -0.1%.
Investors closed the week with a risk-off mood as they continued to eye communication from central bank officials and the tensions in the Middle East. On the latter, though, the attack suffered by Iran on Thursday night had a moderate effect on the price of the barrel of Brent in a sign that the conflict escalation seems to be controlled, for the moment.
A risk-on session was recorded across markets on Thursday after the softer-than-expected inflation data in the US and the uptick in new weekly jobless claims reinforced hopes for a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes by the Fed.
In yesterday's session, investors traded with an optimistic mood as they digested the Fed's decision to initiate the tapering of net asset purchases this month and the dovish confirmation that it will keep its policy interest rates unchanged for the foreseeable future.
In yesterday's session, financial markets were mixed as traders digested worse-than-expected corporate earnings releases.
In yesterday's session sovereign bonds took center stage once again. Yields extended their declines both in the euro area and in the US, where higher-than-expected weekly jobless claims pointed to a cooling labor market and gave investors further reasons to believe the Federal Reserve is done hiking rates.
Geopolitical events (the diplomatictensions between Canada and Saudi Arabia and the impositions of sanctions to Russia from the U.S.) had a muted effect on advancedeconomies' stock markets. In Europe, the mainstock indices experienced moderate losses, except in Portugal and in the U.K., while the S&P 500 remained unchanged. Instead, trade tensions between China and the U.S. weighted on Chinese equity indices.
In the last session of the week, investors digested the hawkish comments offered by key central bank officials in the US Federal Reserve and ECB. In the former, Michelle Bowmen and Thomas Barkin signaled that interest rates will need to raise further but warned against reading too much into January’s retail sales and employment data.