Financial markets extended gains on Tuesday as investors continued to bet that the ongoing economic recovery could sustain the spike in COVID infections across the world.
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Tras el intenso proceso de recuperación que experimentó el sector turístico el verano pasado, los indicadores de actividad turística publicados hasta el mes de diciembre no mostraban señal de agotamiento. Tanto la demanda como la oferta y los precios mantenían el buen tono mostrado en verano e incluso siguieron mejorando en su camino de cerrar la brecha con el nivel pre-COVID. No obstante, esta buena tendencia tiene que volver a hacer frente a una nueva ola de contagios.
Investors turned more positive during a risk-on session on Tuesday. The key themes remained the potential moderation of interest rate hikes by central banks, COVID outbreaks in China and volatility in energy markets.
Investors continued to err on the side of caution at the start of the week, with the focus turning to the risk of a global recession amid expectations of further monetary policy tightening from major central banks and the ongoing deterioration in the COVID pandemic in China.
Durante los últimos años, la industria manufacturera española ha logrado esquivar los peores escenarios de desplome de la actividad (COVID, cuellos de botella, crisis energética). En 2023, se enfrenta a nuevos retos: el impacto de la subida de tipos de interés, los efectos de los problemas de abastecimiento de determinados insumos y el encarecimiento de los costes de producción.
Tras el fuerte bache que supuso la pandemia para el sector, la recuperación del turismo internacional en España se puede dar por prácticamente completada. Entre los 10 principales receptores mundiales de turismo, España ha sido el segundo destino en superar el número de turistas internacionales pre-COVID, solamente por detrás de Turquía.
In yesterday's session, volatility rose as data on new COVID-19 cases rose in the U.S. and investors digested the Federal Reserve adverse description of the economic outlook.
Investors traded more cautiously as new covid-19 infections and containment measures in China weighed on sentiment.
In the first session of the week, investors traded in a lower volatility environment and weighed, on the one hand, the increase in covid-19 cases around the globe and, on the other, the possibility of additional government stimulus.
In yesterday's session, financial markets experienced risk-off flows as investors were concerned about the spread of new covid-19 cases in the US and media reports suggesting that the White House might be willing to impose new tariffs on $3.1 billion of exports from Europe.
Yesterday's session opened with the negative tone seen in the previous days driven by the increase in covid-19 cases around the globe.
In the last session of the week, investors traded cautiously amid fears of new covid-19 cases and doubts on a united ECB response in case further stimulus is required. European stock indices edged lower while EM equities surged, led by Chinese equities. US financial markets were closed because of the Independence Day.
Investors started the week with optimism and a risk-on mood. Despite the increase in COVID-19 cases around the globe, optimism surged on the back of better-than-expected business sentiment indicators.
In yesterday's session, investors traded with a risk-off mood due to increased concerns over the speed of the economic recovery as covid-19 cases continue to surge.
Investor sentiment ended the week on the up amid positive reports over a potential antiviral drug to treat COVID-19. As risk appetite rose, stocks increased across Europe and the U.S., the USD weakened and commodity prices advanced (in oil markets, the barrel of Brent closed moderately above $43).
Markets continued to exhibit a mixed performance as investors weighed data releases and increasing COVID-19 infections. European stocks and sovereign yields declined after euro area industrial production had posted a lower-than-expected rebound in May (+12.4% mom and -20.9% yoy). Yet, in FX markets the euro rose towards $1.14.
Positive developments around a potential COVID-19 vaccine fueled a risk-on mood in yesterday's session. Stocks rose across advanced and emerging economies and, in the U.S., shares of Moderna - a company working on a vaccine - surged close to 7% after a small-scale study showed its experimental vaccine produced high levels of antibodies.
In the first session of the week, investor sentiment improved as promising trial results from a potential COVID-19 vaccine renewed investor's hopes.
Financial markets started the week with a mixed session. In Europe, investors traded with a risk-off mood while in the US riskier assets benefited from progress in the negotiations for a new fiscal stimulus package and hopes for a COVID-19 vaccine.
La COVID-19 está teniendo un fuerte impacto sobre la actividad económica de España y, en particular, sobre el sector turístico. En CaixaBank Research esperamos que el PIB retroceda entre un 13% y un 15% en 2020, y que no recupere los niveles precrisis hasta el año 2023. En lo que respecta al sector turístico, las perspectivas son incluso más adversas para el año 2020, al ser uno de los sectores más afectados por la pandemia.