In yesterday's session, global stocks rose for a ninth day, boosted by comments from US President D. Trump, in a virtual participation at Davos, hinting at a potentially softer approach to tariffs on China. He also urged OPEC to lower crude prices and said he will push for interest rate cuts.
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Risk-off mode in financial markets during yesterday's session as investors digested the US Administration's announcement on Saturday of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China. Tariffs on Mexico were paused later in the day, adding more uncertainty around US tariffs policy, its duration, and its magnitude.
Sentiment recovered during yesterday’s session, as investors digested the announcement that US tariffs on Mexico and Canada will be delayed for at least one month. Trade war uncertainty, however, concentrated in Asia, as China announced retaliatory tariffs on targeted products coming from the US, to take effect next Monday.
Generalized risk-off session as trade tensions intensified. Following the new round of US tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese imports, China imposed a 10-15% tariff on US agricultural products, Canada announced 25% tariffs on C$30 billion worth of U.S. imports, and Mexico stated it would announce tariffs over the weekend.
Yesterday all eyes were on Trump's tariffs announcement, which took place after US markets had closed. Trump finally set tariffs close to the worst expectations, with a 34% tariff for China, 20% for the EU and 24% for Japan. Asian equities are down at today's session (Nikkei around -3%), while stock index futures for Europe and the US point to similar losses.
So-called 'Liberation Day' tariffs announced by the Trump's administration on Wednesday evening had a substantial negative impact on financial markets during yesterday’s session. From a minimum 10% tariff on all countries, up to an accumulated tariff over 50% on China, investors began to price in slower growth as global trade starts to adapt to the tariffs shock.
Financial markets continued on a risk-off mode during Friday's session, as investors tried to assess the potential consequences of China retaliating on US tariffs, enacting duties on all US imports and export controls on rare earths. In this context, US sovereign yields fell, as investors expected the Federal Reserve will cut its intervention rate twice by July.
US President Trump announced a 90-day pause on the so-called “reciprocal" tariffs for all targeted countries, but still maintained the 10% general tariff rate and raised the tariff rate for China to 125% after both countries’ authorities escalated the tension. US stocks rallied and the S&P had its largest intraday gain in over 17 years (+9.5%).
Global markets endured heightened volatility on Thursday following President Trump's surprise announcement of a 90-day suspension of tariffs for most countries, excluding China. The European Union responded by delaying the implementation of its reciprocal measures.
Financial markets had a mixed session on Friday, closing off a highly volatile week with large swings in asset valuations amid chaotic tariff announcements, increased trade tensions, and heightened uncertainty. The latest announcement came from China, which retaliated against the US by increasing the tariff on US imports to 125%.
Investors ended the week on a cautious, yet slightly positive note. All eyes were on the trade talks between China and the US that took place over the weekend. Trump floated in social media an alternative tariff level of 80% on Friday (compared to the current 145%). Both sides have touted progress in the talks, but have offered few details so far.
Yesterday's announcement of a temporary truce in the trade war between the US and China lifted investors' mood, particularly in US assets. Both countries agreed that for the next 90 days the US will reduce the tariffs it imposed on Chinese imports last month from 145% to 30%, and that Chinese tariffs on US imports will fall from 125% to 10%.
Financial markets ended the week on a slightly positive note. News from early in the week of US-China trade negotiations helped sustain sentiment in equity markets, despite survey data showing a sharp deterioration in US consumer sentiment and an uptick in inflation expectations.
Investors ended the week by trading cautiously amid ongoing trade uncertainty, after Trump accused China of breaching a trade deal and said he expected to speak to Xi. US Treasury yields fell slightly, with some Fed officials maintaining their wait-and-see approach despite data released on Friday showed US consumer spending and PCE inflation slowed down in April.
The week kicked off to a mixed start. US Treasury yields rose after Trump announced on the weekend the US will raise tariffs on steel and aluminium (25% to 50%) and accused China of breaching the trade truce agreement. Separately, the ISM and PMI surveys for May showed delivery times increasing, while prices paid by suppliers remained elevated.
Markets traded cautiously as investors awaited news regarding trade negotiations between the US and China. The World Bank cut its global economic growth forecast, pointing to uncertainty brought by trade war as the main cause. In today's session, financial markets will focus on US CPI data for May.
Financial markets were mixed during yesterday's session. US CPI for May came softer than expected, with core CPI increasing by 0.1% mom (vs. expected 0.3%) and 2.8% yoy (vs. 2.9% expected), and overall CPI climbed 2.4% yoy, as expected. Separately, Trump said that a US-China trade deal is "done", which could ease trade frictions between the two countries.
El sector agroalimentario español encara 2025 con vigor renovado, afianzando la senda de crecimiento iniciada en 2023 y destacando por el dinamismo de sus exportaciones. En paralelo, se enfrenta a un entorno comercial cada vez más exigente, marcado por nuevas barreras arancelarias en mercados clave como EE. UU. y China. A pesar de estos desafíos, el agroalimentario mantiene su papel como pilar económico y territorial, clave para la competitividad internacional, la cohesión regional y la autonomía estratégica.
Investor sentiment improved at the start of the week as President Trump softened Friday’s rhetoric on China and both sides signaled openness to resuming trade talks. Risk appetite also benefited from the de-escalation in the Middle East. Global equity indices advanced, led by the technology sector, while volatility declined sharply.
Monday’s session extended the risk-on sentiment from Friday. Strong earnings results from US companies and the easing of trade tensions between China and the US boosted global stock markets, with volatility dropping.