Investors continued to trade with a cautious approach at the start of the week, with risk appetite overshadowed by fears of persistent inflationary pressures and a global recession. UK markets remained in focus, after the pound fell near parity against the USD and bond yields surged as the government reiterated plans to cut taxes.
Resultats de la cerca
Volatility remained elevated across financial markets, with investors keeping the focus on the mix of monetary and fiscal policy across advanced economies, more notably in the UK. On the data front, growth in house prices in the US slowed down in July while US consumer confidence improved for a second month in a row in September.
Risk aversion continued to set the tone during a highly volatile session at the end of the week, as investors read the US payrolls report as evidence that the Fed will continue tightening monetary policy.
In the first session of the week, investors' sentiment improved as sovereign interest rates declined in both sides of the Atlantic and amid better-than-expected corporate earnings releases in the US. Equity indices rose substantially across the board.
In yesterday's session, investors' sentiment deteriorated amid the expectation of a tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and the ECB and disappointing corporate results. Concerns about the Covid-19 situation in China added to the somber sentiment.
Investors started the week trading with a cautious approach. On the positive side, sentiment continued to be supported by expectations that the Chinese government could relax some of its COVID zero policy. On the opposite direction, data showed further weakness in China’s economic recovery.
A risk-on session was recorded across markets on Thursday after the softer-than-expected inflation data in the US and the uptick in new weekly jobless claims reinforced hopes for a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes by the Fed.
Precaution continued to set the tone during the first session of the week, with investor sentiment negatively affected by the ongoing deterioration of COVID infections across China and the likely imposition of more restrictions.
In yesterday's session, investors' expectations on inflation and the path central banks could follow in the coming months remained the key drivers. The moderation of US inflation in April (headline -0.2pp to 8.3% and core -0.3pp to 6.2%) suggests that the peak may have already been in March.
Investors continued to trade with a positive mood ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday in the US (markets will remain closed today). Hopes that central banks could allow less tightening were reinforced by feeble sentiment data and the minutes of the last Fed meeting, where a “substantial majority” of officials backed reducing the pace of rate hikes.
In yesterday’s session, the ECB announcements centered the stage, with a 50bp hike that pushed interest rates off the negative territory and the unveiling of the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI).
In the last session of the week, investors traded cautiously amid ongoing talks between Russian and Ukrainian authorities, although during the weekend Russia intensified aerial attacks on the western part of Ukraine. This week talks are expected to continue between both countries and officials from China and the US will also hold a meeting.
On Monday, volatility continued to dominate financial markets. While the session started with losses in stock indices and sharp declines in sovereign yields, sentiment improved throughout the day following the communication by some ECB officials. Equities closed higher and yields on sovereign bonds rose in the US and were mixed in the euro area.
In the last session of the week, investors’ concerns about liquidity shortage in the banking system continued to dominate the scenario and risk-aversion set the tone in financial markets.
Investors continued to trade with caution, taking position ahead of the publication today of the crucial US payrolls report for February. Data released on Thursday showed an unexpected increase in new jobless claims last week (to 211,000), which contrasted with signals from other surveys pointing to further tightening in the labour market.
The hawkish tone set by central bank officials continued to center the stage in financial markets at the start of the week. In particular, ECB chief economist Phillip Lane signaled that further interest rate hikes beyond next week's meeting will be appropriate to ease inflationary pressures.
Volatility continued to dominate across financial markets at the start of the week, fueled by mounting concerns about the health of the global economic recovery, after the release of weaker-than-expected monthly economic indicators for April in China on Monday.
Italian politics and European natural gas developments centered the stage in yesterday’s session. On the one hand, Draghi’s coalition government failed to pass the confidence vote, increasing the odds of snap elections this autumn.
Investors continued to err on the side of caution during the last session of the week, with sentiment impaired by data releases pointing to lingering inflationary pressures and the likely need for further monetary policy tightening.
Investors started the year trading with a risk-on mode, taking on board data showing receding inflationary pressures in Europe, a slowdown in economic growth in the US and a further decline in energy prices across the globe. As a result, investors revised down modestly their expectations for future policy interest rate hikes.