23 November 2022
Investors turned more positive during a risk-on session on Tuesday. The key themes remained the potential moderation of interest rate hikes by central banks, COVID outbreaks in China and volatility in energy markets.
Evolution of the international financial markets and evaluation of the main events and economic indicators of the previous day session. Available in English.
Investors turned more positive during a risk-on session on Tuesday. The key themes remained the potential moderation of interest rate hikes by central banks, COVID outbreaks in China and volatility in energy markets.
Precaution continued to set the tone during the first session of the week, with investor sentiment negatively affected by the ongoing deterioration of COVID infections across China and the likely imposition of more restrictions.
Investors closed the week trading cautiously, still digesting the hawkish rhetoric by some key Fed officials (St Louis Fed James Bullard) and data showing a further decline in home sales in the US in October.
In yesterday's session, monetary policy took center stage again as US Federal Reserve comments pointed to a higher terminal interest rate than anticipated by financial markets. Investors priced in these comments and yields on sovereign bonds rose in the euro area and, especially, in the US.
Investors traded with a cautious mood in yesterday’s session amid mixed economic data in the US and a delicate geopolitical situation. Nevertheless, US and NATO comments are for now ruling out the possibility that the missiles hitting Poland had a Russian origin.
In yesterday’s session, financial markets' expectation of a much more tightened monetary policy stance eased, as producer price data in the US increased by less than expected in October (0.2% and 0.0% m/m the overall and core indices). Also, speeches from ECB and Fed members favored slowing down the pace of rate hikes.
In the first session of the week, monetary policy centered the stage, with important voices from the ECB and the Federal Reserve advocating for a slower pace of interest rate hikes in the coming months.
In the last session of the week, investors' sentiment kept the upbeat tone seen on Thursday following the decrease in the October US CPI inflation figures. Money markets continued to price a lower monetary policy tightening from the ECB and the Fed than the one implied before the CPI release.
A risk-on session was recorded across markets on Thursday after the softer-than-expected inflation data in the US and the uptick in new weekly jobless claims reinforced hopes for a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes by the Fed.
Investors continued to trade with a cautious mood on Wednesday, as results from the US midterm elections suggested the Republicans may gain control of the House but the Democrats could hold on the Senate. Investors were also taking position ahead of a crucial CPI inflation report in the US today.
In yesterday session, investors traded cautiously amid ECB officials’ comments pointing towards further normalization in the assets' holdings and as they waited for the outcome of the US midterms. Early this morning, the most probable outcome is that Republicans have won the House while Democrats will control the Senate by a small margin.
Investors started the week trading with a cautious approach. On the positive side, sentiment continued to be supported by expectations that the Chinese government could relax some of its COVID zero policy. On the opposite direction, data showed further weakness in China’s economic recovery.