Search results

We present the new CaixaBank Research economic outlook, with an upward revision of Spain’s GDP growth forecast and a modest deterioration in expectations for the international economy.

As is tradition, the November edition of the Monthly Report includes the Dossier in which we analyse the economic outlook for the coming year. On this occasion, we have selected three topics that deserve special attention. Firstly, we look at the outlook for the global economy in 2025, as a year threatened by the division between economic blocs. Secondly, we focus on the easing of monetary policy that lies ahead, now that the disinflation process is on track and economic activity is showing signs of a slowdown. Finally, we analyse the state of the Spanish economy going into 2025, after several quarters with better-than-expected performance in the macroeconomic sphere that have forced us to revise our growth forecasts upwards.

The Trump administration’s announcements of tariff hikes have raised the effective average US tariff on imports to its highest level in a century. Although the decision has been suspended for 90 days, with the exception of China, it reflects the destabilising potential of the measures announced and has triggered fears of a further slowdown in the global economy.

This month we celebrate 500 issues of our Monthly Report by taking a deep dive into the current economic situation and focusing on other hot topics, ranging from the gold price rally and the depreciation of the dollar in the financial markets, to investor apathy in the US and India’s role as a player in the international economy. As for Spain, we stop to examine the financial solidity of the country’s firms and the recent growth of public consumption. Thank you for continuing to read our publication!