During a volatile session, markets closed with mixed results, as investors digested a mix of hawkish comments by central bank officials, upbeat corporate earnings reports, positive macro data (e.g. consumer confidence in the eurozone) and a good showing by incumbent French President Macron at a TV debate against FN Le Pen.
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In Friday's session, global stocks declined and U.S. equities continued their selloff, particularly in the tech-heavy Nasdaq, as investors digested a mixed U.S. employment report.
Investors started the week trading cautiously, taking on board weak sentiment data, hawkish commentary by some ECB officials and news reporting that Russia is due to reduce gas supplies to Europe.
Investors turned more cautious in yesterday's session. Stocks declined across Europe (at yesterday's EU leaders' videoconference there was no progress on the veto that is paralyzing the EU budget and the NGEU package), while U.S. stocks closed moderately higher amid reports that Congress will resume negotiations on a fiscal stimulus.
Financial markets had a mixed session on Tuesday. Brent prices declined after Saudi Arabia moved to restart its East-West pipeline, while Trump reported some diplomatic progress with Iranian representatives.
Financial markets had a mixed session yesterday, although the overall mood among investors remained gloomy as they await today's U.S. inflation report for August, which is expected to show easing price pressures. Government bond yields fell across the board on both sides of the Atlantic.
Financial markets posted a mixed performance on Thursday, with moves closely tied to shifting headlines on US‑Iran ceasefire talks. While European markets closed under a cautious tone, US assets benefited from late‑session reports pointing to a draft agreement between the US and Iran to extend the ceasefire.
During a volatile session, financial markets ended the day with mixed results, after the U.S. CPI inflation report surprised to the upside (5.4% y/y in September after 5.3% in August). The data suggested that upward pressures on prices are broadening out, putting into question the view that the rise in inflation could be transitory.
Volatility and risk aversion continued to set the tone across markets on Wednesday, with investors taking position ahead of a crucial inflation report in the US later today and the kickoff of the Q3 corporate earnings season on Friday.
Market sentiment was dampened by weak investor confidence data in Germany (ZEW index dropped to 7.4 from 13.1 in the previous month), where also Chancellor Scholtz announced elections will be held in February after the ruling coalition collapsed last week. Sentiment was further dampened by caution ahead of today's inflation report in the US.
In yesterday's session, investors continued to trade with a risk-on mood, taking position ahead of potential surprises in the crucial CPI inflation report in the US due to be released today. The headline index is expected to decline m/m, increasing the odds for a 25bp hike in the next Federal Reserve meeting, instead of a 50bp hike.
Another day of rollercoaster swings across financial markets, following the negative surprise in the inflation report in the US and the upside revisions in investors’ expectations of the pace of monetary policy tightening.
Markets closed on a mixed note on Friday, as a blowout US employment report showed job creation well above expectations in August (162,000 vs. 55,000 expected), alongside an upward revision to July's figures. Hawkish comments from the Fed's Hammack also pushed up market expectations for a Fed rate hike, with a September move priced in again.
Risk aversion continued to set the tone during a highly volatile session at the end of the week, as investors read the US payrolls report as evidence that the Fed will continue tightening monetary policy.
Financial markets traded without a clear direction ahead of the US CPI report expected today. In the US, assets had a choppy trading session, as early optimism driven by unexpectedly low US wholesale inflation in December (PPI +0.2% mom vs. +0.4% expected) was muted later on. In this context, US sovereign bonds and equities closed the session flat.
Financial markets had a mixed session on Wednesday. As investors awaited today's ECB meeting, the biggest macro driver yesterday was the US CPI report for August, which showed that prices rose in line with expectations (0.2% MoM), but core inflation showed some stickiness (0.3% MoM) due to higher than expected costs for housing and other services.
In yesterday's session, investors’ sentiment worsened in the euro area, amid inflationary concerns, while in the U.S. investors focused their attention on a potential breakthrough in negotiations between Democrats and Republicans to extend the debt ceiling and on the better than expected ADP employment report.
Market participants remained relatively cautious as the publication of earnings reports will intensify in the coming days. U.S. stocks declined slightly while most of the European indices were up.
Thursday's session carried a broadly constructive tone. Equities rallied across most advanced and emerging economies, with the technology sector as a standout performer. In commodity markets, crude oil retreated for a second consecutive session (amid reports that China is asking Iran to rein in Houthi attacks). TTF natural gas also declined.
In the first session of the week, investors digested the US employment report and the HICP inflation data released last Friday together with comments from central bank officials. In particular, San Francisco's Fed President Mary Daly said that a 25bp or 50bp hike in the next meeting are both on the table and pointed to a terminal rate over 5%.