Evolution of the international financial markets and evaluation of the main events and economic indicators of the previous day session. Available in English.
In the last session of the week, the stronger-than-expected US labor market indicators for June eased investors' recession fears. Non-farm payrolls increased by 372k (from 384k in May), the unemployment rate stood at 3.6% and wages rose by 5.1% y/y, which all together fuels the Fed's intention to raise rates by 75bp at its next meeting.
Risk appetite extended across markets on Thursday, as fears about inflation and monetary tightening eased following soft labour data in the US (weekly jobless claims rose to the highest level since January). Meanwhile, news reported that China’s government is considering more fiscal support by raising by $220bn the issuance of special bonds.
Investors continued to trade with cautious on Wednesday, taking on board mixed economic data and the hawkish signals in the minutes of the last meeting by the Federal Reserve. European natural gas prices continued to edge higher, despite the intervention by Norway’s government to end an energy workers’ strike.
Risk aversion returned to the fore during a volatile session on Tuesday, as investors reassessed the risk of a global recession amid ongoing disruptions in gas supply in Europe and reports of new COVID cases in some regions in China.
Investors started the week with mixed results, taking on board hawkish commentaries by some ECB officials and news reporting that the US government may announce a decision to lift certain tariffs on Chinese imports.
Fears of an economic recession with persistent inflationary pressures continued to weight on investors’ sentiment on Friday, following somewhat feeble economic survey data in the US (the ISM manufacturing slowed down from 56.1 to 53.0 in June) and another increase in eurozone HICP inflation (from 8.1% y/y to 8.6% y/y in June).
In yesterday's session, investors traded with a risk-off mood as recessionary concerns spread across financial markets, following the release of the decrease in US real personal spending (from a downward revised +0.3% to -0.4% in May).
Investors continued to trade with caution amid comments from central bank officials which reinforced their intention to tame elevated inflation. In particular, Fed President Powell said in a panel discussion with ECB and BoE presidents that the objective is to bring down inflation, even if this process could put economic growth at risk.
In yesterday's session, financial markets closed with mixed results as several drivers affected sentiment differently. While the easing of Chinese lockdowns measures boosted risk appetite, the worse-than-expected reading of US consumer confidence (98.7, down from 106.4) erased initial signs of recovery in risky assets.
In yesterday's session, investors traded cautiously as they continued to assess whether central banks will be able to tame inflationary pressures without causing a hard landing. Geopolitical news centered the stage too, after the G7 meeting in Germany and ahead of today's NATO summit in Madrid.