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In yesterday's session, investors’ sentiment worsened in the euro area, amid inflationary concerns, while in the U.S. investors focused their attention on a potential breakthrough in negotiations between Democrats and Republicans to extend the debt ceiling and on the better than expected ADP employment report.

Investors continued to trade with caution in anticipation of further monetary tightening by the Fed, despite ISM service sector survey in August was consistent with very solid growth in Q3. In the euro zone, the surveys anticipate the ECB will hike interest rates by, at least, 50 bp on Thursday.

In a session in which the focus was expected to be the FOMC meeting and the Q1 2020 US GDP release, investors shifted their attention to the expectations of an effective COVID-19 treatment.

Investor sentiment improved in the last session of the week despite the release of April's U.S. employment report, which showed the largest job's loss since the Great Depression.

Investors started the week trading with appetite for risk, taking position ahead of the CPI inflation report for August in the US, to be released today. According to the Consensus, CPI inflation is expected to have eased to 8.1% y/y (from 8.5%), which, if confirmed, could reduce some pressure on the Fed for continuing hiking policy rates aggressively.

Risk aversion returned to the fore on Tuesday after CPI inflation surprised to the upside in the US, fueling a new upward revision in investors’ expectations about the pace of monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve.

Investors ended the week trading with a pessimistic tone amid concerns on the economic outlook and tightening monetary policy. On a positive note, the US consumers' inflation expectations survey (University of Michigan) showed the lowest rate since last September, easing concerns that the Fed could hike rates this week by 100bp.

Markets ended the week on a weak note, following the release of disappointing employment data in the U.S. (non-farm payrolls rose by 194k in September after 366k in August). The report, however, showed wage growth picking up (4.6% y/y), which reinforced fears that inflationary pressures are building up across the economy.

Investors traded cautiously in the last session of the week amid rising concerns between the Chinese-US relations and mounting uncertainty on the economic recovery after the COVID-19.

Investors started the week with mixed sentiment in Europe and optimism in the U.S., driven, respectively, by weaker-than-expected economic data releases on one side and the perception that activity is recovering on the other.

Political tensions in France took center stage during yesterday's session after far-right and far-left parties submitted no-confidence motions against Prime Minister Barnier, risking the collapse of the current government. French government yields rose, its risk premium widened further, and the euro sold-off to 1.05 against the dollar.

The US Federal Reserve’s meeting centered the stage in a risk-off session, also spurred by the escalation of Russia’s offensive in Ukraine. As expected, the central bank raised policy interest rates by 75 bp while President Jerome Powell said that interest rates will need to stay in restrictive territory for longer, as shown in the dot plot.

Investors continued to trade with a cautious approach at the start of the week, with risk appetite overshadowed by fears of persistent inflationary pressures and a global recession. UK markets remained in focus, after the pound fell near parity against the USD and bond yields surged as the government reiterated plans to cut taxes.

In the last session of the week, stock indices rose in the US and core euro area following positive corporate results and the better-than-expected GDP growth figures in the US.

A risk-on session was recorded across markets on Thursday after the softer-than-expected inflation data in the US and the uptick in new weekly jobless claims reinforced hopes for a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes by the Fed.

Investor sentiment ended the week on the up amid positive reports over a potential antiviral drug to treat COVID-19. As risk appetite rose, stocks increased across Europe and the U.S., the USD weakened and commodity prices advanced (in oil markets, the barrel of Brent closed moderately above $43).

After the risk-off session of Monday, triggered by the depreciation of the Chinese yuan above the 7 yuans per US dollar threshold, financial markets' volatility moderated and stock indices edged down in Europe and rose in the US.

In the first session of the week, investors traded cautiously as they await for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision on Wednesday and for news on the trade talks.

Yesterday's market sentiment was driven by the ECB's rate cut announcement, the fifth cut since last June, leaving depo rate 25bps lower at 2.75%. Officials kept the door open to further policy easing, given euro area GDP data was stagnant and could be hit by a trade war from the new US Administration. By end of session, markets expected 3 more cuts in 2025.

In the last session of the week, investors weighed better-than-expected economic data in the euro area with mixed signals from central banks about the pace of rate hikes in the coming meetings, including from ECB member Schnabel.