Resultats de la cerca

The US Federal Reserve’s meeting centered the stage in a risk-off session, also spurred by the escalation of Russia’s offensive in Ukraine. As expected, the central bank raised policy interest rates by 75 bp while President Jerome Powell said that interest rates will need to stay in restrictive territory for longer, as shown in the dot plot.

Yesterday, investors continued to digest the hawkish tone of the main central banks. The Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank decided yesterday to hike interest rate by 50 bp and 75bp to 2.25% and 0.50%, respectively. In the UK the central bank also decided, unanimously, to gradually reduce the size of its balance sheet.

Investors continued to trade with a cautious approach at the start of the week, with risk appetite overshadowed by fears of persistent inflationary pressures and a global recession. UK markets remained in focus, after the pound fell near parity against the USD and bond yields surged as the government reiterated plans to cut taxes.

Volatility remained elevated across financial markets, with investors keeping the focus on the mix of monetary and fiscal policy across advanced economies, more notably in the UK. On the data front, growth in house prices in the US slowed down in July while US consumer confidence improved for a second month in a row in September.

Financial markets recorded yet another session with high volatility, with the key drivers remaining the direction of monetary policy, the escalation in tensions with Russia and the strength of the USD.

Risk aversion continued to set the tone during a volatile session on Thursday, with the focus turning to the risk of persistency of inflationary pressures and a new round of hawkish commentary from various central bank officials.

On Friday, investors continued to weigh the hawkish monetary policy agenda of the main central banks and the upside surprises on inflation data. In the euro area, headline HICP inflation jumped from 9.1% to 10.0% and core inflation increased by 0.5pp to 4.8% yoy.

In the first session of the week, investors traded with optimism, after the worse-than-expected US ISM data for September let traders to think the Fed could pursue a less aggressive monetary policy stance than previously expected. Nevertheless, NY Fed President John Williams said that there is still job to do to curb inflation.

In yesterday's session, investors maintained their appetite for riskier assets, after a drop in the number of job vacancies in the US fueled expectations of a monetary policy pivot from the Fed. In this direction, the central bank of Australia decided to hike rates by 25bp, slowing down the pace of its tightening.

Investors' optimism faded away in yesterday's session as concerns about a recession mounted and central bank officials insisted on tightening monetary policy. Sovereign yields surged and equities fell in both sides of the Atlantic, while oil prices rose modestly after the OPEC+ confirmed that it plans to cut production by 2 million barrels per day. 

Monetary policy tightening centered the stage again, with several US Federal Reserve members arguing that interest rates needed to be hiked further and that there were no clear signs of inflation having peaked yet. In the euro area, the accounts of the last ECB meeting revealed a broad-based concern of GC members about current inflation figures.

Investors continued to trade cautiously at the start of the week, with risk sentiment negatively affected by the escalation in the war in Ukraine, new outbreaks of COVID cases and the reimposition of some restrictions in China as well as investors’ gloomy outlook for corporate profits, ahead of the start of the Q3 earnings season later this week.

On Friday, the survey of the University of Michigan showed an increase in inflation expectations for the US, which led to a rise in sovereign yields and sharp losses on US stock indices. Meanwhile, in Europe, equities managed to register moderate advances. The US dollar strengthened against most currencies and the euro fluctuated below $0.98.

In the first session of the week, investors' sentiment improved as sovereign interest rates declined in both sides of the Atlantic and amid better-than-expected corporate earnings releases in the US. Equity indices rose substantially across the board.

In yesterday's session, investors continued to trade with an upbeat tone amid better-than-expected corporate profits releases and macroeconomic data. In particular, the US industrial production in September rose by 0.4% m/m and the Zew survey expectations index for Germany and the euro area edged up modestly in October.

In yesterday's session, investors traded with a cautious mood, despite the good news in the earnings season, as they continued to assess a complicated macroeconomic scenario.

In yesterday’s session, politics centered the stage in financial markets, following the resignation of UK Prime Minister Liz Truss due to the loss of confidence in her government. The Conservative Party is expected to present a new leader before the end of October and ahead of the release of the widely expected fiscal plan.

Financial markets started the week with a risk-on session, fueled by the resolution of the political crisis in the UK and hopes that the softening in sentiment data could allow central banks to slow the pace of monetary tightening.

Risk appetite extended gains across markets on Tuesday, as investors took on board positive signals from corporate earnings, a further softening in US sentiment and housing indicators and a decline in gas prices across the globe.

Investors continued to trade with a risk-on mood, fueled by expectations that the Fed and the ECB could decide to reduce the pace of monetary tightening from December, which for the US were reinforced by the release of weak housing data. Investors were also taking position ahead of a crucial monetary policy decision by the ECB today.