The differing speeds of inflation: a differential calculation for the ECB

The euro area reached the ECB’s inflation target in 2025. Headline inflation fell to 2.1% for the year as a whole and closed at 1.9% in December, while most agents’ expectations also place it at 2% in the medium term. How has this final disinflation towards the 2% target played out? Which products and countries have contributed the most? What inertia remains?

CaixaBank Research
10 February 2026