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GDP beat expectations in Q4 2024 with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.5%, placing growth for the year as a whole at 1.9%. The good performance in the final stretch of 2024 introduces upside risks into CaixaBank Research’s current forecast for 2025 (2.3%), due to the knock-on effect.
The health situation and the lockdowns made 2020 an annus horribilis for Portugal's tourism sector: total profits generated by tourist accommodation establishments fell by almost 3 billion euros and the total number of guests fell by 61%.
GDP performed better than expected in Q1 2023, rallying 1.6% quarter-on-quarter and 2.5% year-on-year thanks to the buoyancy of the foreign sector, especially tourism.
Preliminary GDP data published by the National Statistics Institute indicate a notable acceleration in growth in the final quarter of 2023, with an increase of 0.8% quarter-on-quarter and 2.2% year-on-year in Q4.
The Greater Lisbon region accounted for 18% of all home sales in Portugal in 2023. Of these, 23% involved buyers with tax residence outside Portugal and the EU.