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Rising concerns over intensifying competition in the AI sector triggered a sharp sell-off in technology stocks, weighing on broader market sentiment. Euro area equity indices mostly closed modestly lower, while US equities saw larger declines. On both sides of the Atlantic, cyclical sectors, including industrials and energy, outperformed on a relative basis.

Euro area sovereign yields edged lower, while the EURUSD cross held steady near 1.18, after the region's January inflation cooled, with headline inflation falling to 1.7% from 2.0% on lower energy prices and core easing to 2.2% as services inflation moderated. Attention now turns to today’s ECB policy meeting, where rates are expected to remain unchanged.

Yesterday's session was dominated by heightened global uncertainty following the US Supreme Court's ruling on Friday, which struck down the emergency tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. Investors adopted a  risk-off stance ahead of a week with no major data releases. Market volatility picked up, reflecting elevated policy uncertainty.

Yesterday’s session reflected a risk-on tone in European and Asian markets, as investors reacted to late Monday remarks from President Trump suggesting that the Middle East conflict could end soon. Asian equities rebounded sharply, with Japan’s Nikkei-225 rising around 3%, and the Spanish IBEX-35 outperforming European peers.

Yesterday’s session saw a sharp turnaround in sentiment. Markets initially opened under pressure, with equities declining and sovereign yields rising amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and rising energy prices. Sentiment shifted after President Trump announced a temporary halt to planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, following reports of constructive talks between the Washington and Tehran. Brent prices quickly fell just below $100/barrel.

Yesterday’s session was marked by elevated volatility and choppy trading, as investors weighed conflicting signals around potential US–Iran talks. While President Trump suggested progress, Iranian officials denied that negotiations were taking place, adding uncertainty to the outlook. Oil prices moved higher on these tensions.

Yesterday's session was driven by news that a two-week ceasefire agreement had been reached between the US and Iran, with a potential reopening of the strait of Hormuz that curbed inflationary concerns. Energy prices fell sharply, leaving Brent below USD 95/barrel and TTF at EUR 45/MWh, and volatility decreased as well.

President Trump announced that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to a 10-day ceasefire, but investors remained cautious amid limited progress on US–Iran talks and the ongoing blockade of Iranian ports through the Strait of Hormuz. Energy prices moved higher, with Brent crude rising toward $100/bbl and TTF gas moving above €42/MWh.

Yesterday's session began on a positive tone, but sentiment deteriorated as the day progressed amid rising concerns that Iran may not participate in upcoming talks in Pakistan and with the ceasefire deadline approaching. Energy prices rose, with Brent trading above USD 98/barrel and TTF closing at EUR 42/MWh.

Markets remained caught between geopolitical tensions and a key run of central bank meetings. With no progress reported in US–Iran negotiations, energy prices moved higher, with Brent crude rising above USD 110/bbl for the first time in three weeks. Risk sentiment stayed subdued, while concerns over the inflationary impact of higher energy costs persisted.

Sentiment deteriorated as stalled US–Iran negotiations and reports that Washington may be preparing for a prolonged conflict pushed energy prices sharply higher. Meanwhile, the Fed left rates unchanged, as expected, but highlighted rising inflation risks, with the statement drawing three dissents from officials opposed to maintaining an easing bias.

Risk appetite improved on Tuesday after senior officials from Iran and the US confirmed that the truce remains in place and that negotiations are ongoing. In this context, crude oil prices fell, although Brent remained around USD 110 per barrel.

Risk sentiment weakened progressively on Thursday, as early optimism over potential progress in US‑Iran talks faded by reports of skirmishes near the Strait of Hormuz, alongside news that Saudi Arabia and Kuwait had again lifted restrictions on US military access to their airspace and military bases.

Risk sentiment was mixed on Friday's session, as counterparts in the Middle East conflict remained unable to reach a peace agreement, even though President Trump announced that the ceasefire continued to hold. Energy prices ticked up, with Brent settling above $101/barrel.

Yesterday's session was driven by increasing concerns over extended energy supply disruptions, as differences between the US and Iran regarding the negotiated terms make a peace agreement hard to reach. Energy prices climbed, with Brent up nearly 4%, while TTF posted more modest gains.

A sharp risk-off session closed the week, as stalled US–Iran negotiations pushed energy prices sharply higher and reignited inflation concerns. Brent crude rose more than 3% to near USD 110/barrel, amid persistent disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and continued uncertainty around regional energy flows.

Financial markets posted a mixed performance on Thursday, with moves closely tied to shifting headlines on US‑Iran ceasefire talks. While European markets closed under a cautious tone, US assets benefited from late‑session reports pointing to a draft agreement between the US and Iran to extend the ceasefire.

Contradictory headlines from the Middle East drove Monday’s session. After a weekend in which hostilities surged between the US and Iran, President Trump announced that negotiations were to be resumed on Tuesday. Despite this, energy prices rose, especially TTF natural gas, that settled above EUR 42/MWh, and market-implied volatility dropped.

As US-Iran talks resumed yesterday, Brent crude prices closed the session flat, while TTF natural gas prices advanced slightly, to settle above EUR 43/MWh. In other commodities, gold posted its biggest quarterly losses in a decade, closing around 4,000$/once, while market volatility eased.