Evolution of the international financial markets and evaluation of the main events and economic indicators of the previous day session. Available in English.
23 abril 2021
Yesterday investors focused their attention on the ECB meeting, which delivered no surprises, and on a report that suggested that Joe Biden's Administration would increase the capital gains rate to finance social spending. In the US, this latter driver increased volatility in stock markets and the main indices declined.
Yesterday, investors traded with cautious optimism after two days of consecutive declines in stock markets. The announcement that the German constitutional court will not initially block the NGEU package (€750bn) contributed to investors' optimism. Opposition argued that the EU was exceeding its powers by issuing such large amount of debt.
In yesterday's session financial markets experienced risk aversion flows. Despite the positive results presented by some companies, the increase in COVID cases around the globe led investors to move from equities tied to the economic cycle to safer assets such as sovereign bonds, gold and safe haven currencies.
Markets shrugged off a jump in U.S. inflation and the halt in Johnson & Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine rollout, and investors continued to favor risk assets in yesterday's session. Stocks and commodity prices advanced while the USD weakened moderately against the major currencies.
Markets closed the week with a mixed session on Friday. A jump in U.S. producer price inflation (+4.2% yoy in March after +2.8% in February) led to a steepening of global sovereign yield curves and a mixed performance in most stock markets (with the exception of the U.S., where equities posted a third-straight weekly rally).
Investors continued to trade in a low volatility environment as comments from policy makers reiterated their intention to support economic growth. In particular, Janet Yellen, US Treasury Secretary, urged the main economies to adopt an expansionary fiscal stance to secure a robust recovery.
Yesterday, investors traded in a low volatility environment as the Fed's last meeting minutes reiterated its intention to keep the monetary policy stance unchanged for some time. Nevertheless, as it was anticipated in the dot plot, several members argued that they would favor raising rates earlier than the FOMC’s median view.
In yesterday's session investors traded with a positive mood as the IMF revised upwards its macroeconomic projections for most advanced and emerging economies. The more vigorous recovery is driven by the fiscal stimulus packages and the vaccination campaign gathering pace in the next quarters.