Markets ended the week on a cautious note as investors worried over deteriorating pandemic dynamics (compounded by news suggesting that the British strain of the coronavirus could be deadlier) and euro area indicators pointed at a decline in activity in January (the area-wide flash composite PMI nudged down to 47.5 points).
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Volatility increased in the first session of the week as investors pondered over worsening pandemic dynamics. Stocks were mixed, advancing moderately in the U.S. and in emerging Asia while retreating across euro area core and peripheral countries.
Investors traded cautiously in yesterday's session. The IMF updated its global economic forecasts – raising world GDP growth in 2021 to 5.5% but lowering the euro area's 2021 projections to 4.2% (-1.0pp). Spain's 2021 GDP growth forecast was lowered to 5.9% (-1.3pp).
Markets suffered a risk-off session yesterday. Volatility jumped to levels not seen since autumn and stocks sold off across advanced and emerging economies, while the USD strengthened and commodity prices declined.
Stock markets rebounded across advanced economies and implied volatility eased as risk sentiment improved.
Stocks slid in Europe amid rising concerns over delays to the vaccine rollout in the continent and the economic impact of a new strain of COVID-19. A vaccine produced by AstraZeneca and Oxford University was approved by the EU's regulator on Friday but difficulties in delivering shipments to the bloc are leading to rising tensions.
An improving health situation in the US combined with the prospect of a bipartisan stimulus package have led to a 1.6% jump in the S&P 500 on Monday, its largest daily gain in two months.
Investors traded in a risk-on mood yesterday amid better-than-expected GDP data in the eurozone (-0.7% qoq in Q4) and a continuation of stimulus negotiations in the US.
Mario Draghi met Italy's president Sergio Mattarella on Wednesday and agreed to try to form a government of national unity after the recent collapse of the government coalition. It is however uncertain whether Draghi will be able to put together a willing coalition of parties.
Investors continued trading in a risk-on mood yesterday as the vaccination process continues, and, symbolically, the number of people vaccinated across the world reaches the number of COVID-19 cases.
Investors started the week on a positive note. Stocks rose across advanced and emerging economies on the back of optimism over the economic outlook. Positive market sentiment also led to higher commodity prices, and Brent oil prices nudged past $60.
In yesterday's session investors traded amid few relevant economic news or data releases. Stock indices edged down in most advanced economies after a rally that lasted a week but remain positive in the MTD.
In yesterday's session, investor sentiment remained cautious amid volatile inflation data in the US (core CPI inflation +1.4% in January vs +1.6% in December).
In yesterday's session, investor sentiment improved on the back of positive corporate earnings releases and the expectation of continuing support from the fiscal and monetary policies.
Markets ended the week on a positive note as investors continued to eye negotiations on a new fiscal package in the U.S. Volatility declined and stocks rose across advanced and emerging economies. Commodity prices also benefited from positive sentiment and ended the session higher.
Markets started the week showing greater risk appetite as the World Health Organization listed AstraZeneca and Oxford University’s COVID-19 vaccine for emergency use. Stocks rose across advanced and emerging economies, the USD weakened moderately and commodity prices edged up. U.S. markets were closed for the Presidents day holiday.
Investors traded in a more cautious mood in yesterday's session. Optimism about the medium-term economic outlook and recovering inflation expectations led to steeper sovereign yield curves. Yet, stock markets were mixed and closed moderately lower.
Investors turned more cautious in yesterday's session. Stocks declined moderately in most advanced economies and a lower risk appetite led to USD appreciation against the major currencies.
Markets displayed a lower risk appetite in yesterday's session – as investors pondered the impact of rising interest rates on equity markets. Volatility rose and stocks dropped across advanced and emerging economies.
Investors traded in a mixed mood on Friday as they became more confident in the economic recovery but also pondered the possibility of rising inflation.