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In the midst of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and an intense geopolitical battle that is likely to lead to a multi-polar world, the major economies must choose their game-play strategy.
The key for the coming months will be to reach the turning point in the pattern of inflation, at which point an end will be in sight for the most aggressive cycle of interest rate hikes in the last 40 years, and this in turn ought to reduce volatility in the financial markets.
We take a deep dive into the components of the consumer price index to determine whether the high inflation rates recorded in energy and food prices are spreading to the other components.
During the years of expansionary monetary policy, the Federal Reserve embarked on an asset purchase programme aimed at injecting liquidity into the economy and stimulating it, with its assets peaking at 35% of US GDP in mid-2022. The inflationary crisis required a restrictive monetary policy which included reducing the size of the central bank’s balance sheet in order to withdraw liquidity from the financial system. In 2025, the Fed announced a slowdown in the pace of its balance sheet reduction process beginning in April.
The Chinese authorities seem willing to tolerate a slower pace of growth, prioritising economic security. What implications will this new macroeconomic environment have for China and what will be the ramifications globally?
The health situation and the lockdowns made 2020 an annus horribilis for Portugal's tourism sector: total profits generated by tourist accommodation establishments fell by almost 3 billion euros and the total number of guests fell by 61%.
This year, the ECB will not only continue to raise interest rates, but it will also reduce the size of its balance sheet. How will this reduction work and what consequences could it have for sovereign debt?