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During the first three quarters of 2025, sterling depreciated against the euro, despite having a favorable interest rate differential, due to the resilience of the eurozone and fiscal pressures and political uncertainty in the United Kingdom. Since then, this dynamic has partially reversed, with a moderate appreciation that has become more pronounced following the conflict in the Middle East, during which sterling has outperformed most major currencies, aside from the US dollar.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/publications/flash-divisas/eurgbp