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Thanks to its resounding success in combating COVID-19, China expects to see its economy grow by 2.0% in this pandemic-filled year, making it the only major economy to end 2020 on a positive note. The future is not written in stone but, in 2020, China took significant steps towards resuming its previous role as the world's leading economy.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/activity-growth/china-long-road-economic-dominance

The outbreak of the pandemic in 2020, and more recently the war in Ukraine, has accelerated the trend of decoupling between the US and China, and Europe also appears to have joined in, albeit somewhat timidly for now. We analyse the EU’s dependence on China in order to understand whether European strategic autonomy is possible, or even desirable.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/activity-growth/eu-and-china-mapping-out-strategic-interdependence

India y China han protagonizado una transformación económica sin precedentes en las últimas décadas, pero sus trayectorias de crecimiento han seguido caminos divergentes. En este artículo, comparamos ambos modelos desde una perspectiva de largo plazo, desglosando los factores que han impulsado sus economías: capital, trabajo y productividad. 

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/recent-developments/india-vs-china-perspectiva-crecimiento

The data from recent quarters show growing evidence of two major phenomena: the slowdown in the trade of goods, but not in services, and the growing fragmentation of global trade and production. At the epicentre of it all is China, with its increasingly key role in global manufacturing, which is decoupling from the United States.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/activity-growth/decoupling-us-and-china-accentuates-fragmentation-global-economy

Despite being the world’s largest consumer of commodities, China lacks certain essential materials and relies heavily on imports, especially of oil, natural gas, copper, aluminium and nickel. To address this dependency, the country has implemented a long-term strategy that includes the stockpiling of strategic reserves, which could affect global commodity prices.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/commodities/china-and-stockpiling-commodities-strategy-or-growth

The pork industry has consolidated its position as the most important sector for Spanish livestock farming, accounting for over 40% of final livestock production. It comprises around 86,500 farms and 2,600 processors, with most of its production concentrated in just three regions: Catalonia, Aragon and Castile & Leon. Recently, the pork industry has managed to handle the fall in demand due to COVID-19 better than other meat sectors, a result of it being less dependent on the hospitality channel and also the increase in demand from China, whose domestic production has been severely affected by African swine fever (ASF). This situation has allowed Spain’s pork industry to consolidate its position as one of the major players in the EU and the world. The challenges that now need to be tackled by the sector include reducing its pollutant emissions and continuing to strictly apply the necessary biosecurity measures to stop ASF from entering Spain.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/sectoral-analysis/agrifood/spanish-pork-thriving

In mid-2020 the Chinese government announced a series of strict rules on access to credit in the real estate sector, which had historically followed a growth model based on high leverage. However, these measures not only managed to limit debt in the sector, but also exposed its vulnerabilities. In this article, we look at the biggest risks of this strategy.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/sectoral-analysis/real-estate/chinas-real-estate-sector-part-ii-emergency-landing-or-low-altitude

After years of rapid expansion, the Chinese authorities have decided to put a stop to excessive leveraging in the real estate sector. Beginning in the summer of 2020 new limits on access to credit for property developers were imposed and the sector entered a prolonged phase of adjustment in which it still remains today.

https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/sectoral-analysis/real-estate/chinas-real-estate-sector-updated-diagnosis