Investors ended the week in a mixed mood. Volatility jumped and stock markets declined across many advanced economies. In contrast, EM equities posted moderate gains.
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Markets started the week on a moderately positive note. In a session with no major economic releases, volatility declined, stocks rose moderately across advanced economies, and EM equities were mixed.
Markets traded in a cautious mood in yesterday's session. Stocks were mixed across advanced and emerging economies while in FX markets the USD strengthened against the major currencies. In commodity markets, prices were little changed.
Yesterday, investors continued to trade in a cautious mood. Asian stocks dropped after weak retail sales and industrial production data in China. In advanced economies, European equities declined while U.S. stocks rose on the back of greater optimism on the U.S. economic outlook.
Markets were mixed on Thursday. EM and U.S. stocks ended lower while European equities rebounded from a seven-week low, led by the travel and leisure sector.
In a session with a Triple witching hour in the U.S., an event that usually increases volume and volatility as several futures and options expire simultaneously, stock indices declined in the euro area and in the U.S. while sovereign yields edged moderately up on both sides of the Atlantic.
Financial markets started the week with a risk-off session fuelled by concerns that Evergrande, a giant property developer in China, is facing a liquidity crisis and might not be able to service its debt repayments.
In yesterday’s session, investors’ sentiment improved as concerns on Chinese Evergrande’s fallout eased.
Yesterday's FOMC meeting was received without major surprises by financial markets. The Fed announced, as broadly expected, that the tapering on asset purchases would start soon if economic indicators come in as expected and that net asset purchases would finish by mid-2022.
Markets ended the week in a mixed mood as investors pondered over the Fed's plans for stimuli withdrawal, risks from China's Evergrande and the announcement that Chinese authorities will ban all transactions and mining related to cryptocurrencies. Global stocks declined or closed flat while the USD rose against most AE and EM currencies.
Spain’s housing market ended 2025 with exceptionally high levels of activity, exceeding 714,000 transactions, the highest figure since 2007. The strength of demand – driven by population growth, improved purchasing power and favourable financial conditions – sustained high activity, particularly in the first half of the year. However, on the supply side, significant limitations persist: despite the increase in permits, the construction of new homes remains insufficient to keep up with new household creation. This imbalance between supply and demand is exerting significant upward pressure on prices, which are accelerating across the board, particularly in the most dynamic and touristic areas. Looking ahead to 2026-2027, transactions are expected to stabilise at high levels and there will be a gradual improvement in supply, although it will remain insufficient. As such, prices will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate rate.
The interest rate hikes being implemented by central banks in order to combat inflation are leading to concerns regarding the impact such tighter financial conditions may have on real estate markets. In many developed economies, house prices have risen considerably in recent years, a trend that accelerated during the pandemic, fuelling fears of real estate bubbles. Given this situation, the authorities in several countries have implemented a series of macroprudential instruments to cool down their market. However, in Spain the risk of a real estate bubble appears to be contained.
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