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During yestrerday's session, energy prices continued to fall on increased optimism about reaching a long-term peace agreement in the Middle East, after President Trump was positive about the talks held in Qatar. Brent crude and TTF natural gas prices fell below USD 72/barrel and EUR 43/MWh, respectively.

Commodity markets continued to trade on a relatively positive note in yesterday's session, as investors remained optimistic about the prospects of the US-Iran agreement. Brent crude prices closed flat, nearing pre-war levels, while TTF natural gas prices fell to EUR 44/MWh, correcting after several days of increases last week.

Oil prices rose after attacks near the Strait of Hormuz renewed concerns about disruptions to oil shipments and the US tightened sanctions on Iranian crude. Brent climbed 3.0%, above $74 per barrel, while TTF gas jumped by more than 5% and gold fell.

Market sentiment improved during yesterday's session, with oil prices falling by more than 2%, as investors valued that negotiations between US and Iran remain open, despite Hormuz clashes. On the other hand, TTF gas continued to climb, on a bleaker supply outlook. Gold stabilised, as investors assessed higher geopolitical risks and tighter monetary policy.

Markets closed Friday on a mixed note as attention remained on the risk of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, although Trump signalled openness to a deal with Iran. Oil prices ended little changed after a choppy session and TTF gas prices fell.

Investor sentiment was mixed in yesterday's session. Energy prices crept up as the U.S. and Iran continued to exchange fire and Brent oil briefly topped $95. Stocks rose across Europe but the U.S. S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower amid a mixed performance of tech stocks and ahead of key Q2 earnings releases.

Markets ended Friday with a cautious tone as lower energy prices supported sovereign bond yields amid resilient macroeconomic data. Yields declined on both sides of the Atlantic, more markedly in the euro area, with peripheral spreads tightening, as Brent crude retreated from $100/barrel.

Risk appetite surged on Monday as US strikes on Iran remained paused for a second consecutive night. Energy prices declined sharply, with Brent dropping below $90 per barrel. This lowered inflation expectations, with euro area 1Y inflation swaps falling by around 0.2 p.p. to 2.4%. Sovereign yields also declined across the board, particularly in the euro area.

Markets weighed lower geopolitical risk and falling energy prices against growing concerns over AI-capex returns. Brent oil fell to $84/barrel, lowering  inflation expectations (especially in the short-term) and sovereign yields on both sides of the Atlantic.

Risk appetite improved on Thursday amid supportive macro data and lower energy prices, as war tensions around Hormuz did not escalate. Eurozone sovereign yields fell, with steeper curves and tighter peripheral spreads, after GDP growth surprised to the upside across the euro area and its main economies. ECB expectations were little changed ahead of today’s June CPI print, though markets pared odds of a third rate hike.

Thursday's session shifted toward a risk-on tone, supported by dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who signaled openness to holding rates steady. Markets pared bets on a September Fed rate hike (to 50%), lifting equities and bonds on both sides of the Atlantic while weighing on the dollar.

The week started with US markets closed for Labour Day. Elsewhere, energy prices edged higher, lifting eurozone market-based inflation expectations as well as ECB rate expectations. A hike at Thursday's meeting is priced by investors as almost certain, as well as two additional increases discounted over the next twelve months.

A renewed surge in energy prices, which sent Brent crude oil above $100 and TTF natural gas close to €80, set a risk-off tone across markets. Inflation expectations rose, as did expectations of central bank tightening, with markets pricing around 85 bps of ECB tightening over the next 12 months (starting with 25 bps today), and almost 70 bps for the Fed.

Investors took stock after the significant gains of the last sessions and stocks advanced moderately.

International stock and sovereign bonds markets remained relatively unchanged during the last day of the week.

Equities went down in most of the developed countries as investors are assessing earnings and remain prudent before the ECB meeting.

Stock markets ended the week on a positive note as they advanced supported by good earnings and macroeconomic data.

Stock markets were mixed and sovereign yields declined as investors struck a tone of caution at the start of the week.

Stocks were mixed and sovereign yields remained roughly stable as investors await the announcement of Trump's candidate to lead the Fed (expected today).