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We have developed a tracker that shows the external position of the major emerging economies, providing key clues about each country’s dependence on foreign savings and thus their degree of vulnerability.

The indicators published in recent weeks confirm the good health of the Spanish economy, with growth in Q1 once again beating expectations and recording the highest rate among the major euro area economies.

What exactly is productivity and how can we measure it? Where does Spain lie in terms of its productivity compared to the rest of the euro area? With this article, we launch a series on the fundamentals of the Spanish economy, which will continue in the monthly reports of the coming months.

For the first time in many months, the outlook for the European economy has begun to improve. We analyse the factors behind this improvement and share our vision of the outlook for growth and inflation in the euro area in 2023. 

The new GDP growth forecast by autonomous community for 2026 presents a mixed picture: the regions of the Mediterranean arc and the archipelagos will experience stronger growth, while the Cantabrian coast and much of the interior will record more modest rates.

The protectionist agenda and the withdrawal of multilateralism by the new US administration could benefit foreign investment in the euro area, thanks to its stable regulatory framework, confidence in the independence of the ECB and plans to boost spending on defence and infrastructure. 

To assess the extent to which demand for housing could be affected by the rise in interest rates, we calculate the expected trend in the theoretical mortgage burden ratio according to our current CaixaBank Research forecast scenario, recently revised following the invasion of Ukraine.

The Industrial Accelerator Act, presented by the European Commission at the beginning of March, outlines its response to the EU’s weakening industrial base. It is structured around a set of quantitative objectives: a general one, to raise the sector’s share of the economy to 20% of GDP by 2035 (14% in 2025), and several specific ones, aimed at boosting productive capacity and reducing strategic dependencies in critical segments. In pursuit of this latter goal, it includes minimum European content requirements and maximum thresholds for third countries in terms of foreign direct investment and public procurement.

The saying goes that better the devil you know than the devil you don’t, but perhaps inflation is a special case. What will happen with inflation in 2023?

Finance is a key sector for the economy. Therefore, any significant innovation in this field deserves to be analysed with caution, and its implications, well understood. This is what we seek to do in this article with the Libra project.

The adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in Spanish firms has accelerated in recent years, but the process has been uneven and remains incomplete. This article analyses the extent of AI penetration considering four key dimensions: company size, sectoral differences, specific uses within organisations and the main barriers hindering its deployment, as well as a comparison with the rest of Europe. Understanding how and where AI is being incorporated is particularly important from a business and macroeconomic perspective, as its adoption influences efficiency and productivity gains and can widen gaps between firms, sectors and workers in a productive fabric like Spain’s, which is dominated by SMEs and microenterprises.

We expect the global economy to grow by 3.1% both in 2025 and in 2026 (up from 2.9% previously), driven by upward revisions in the US (from 1.3% to 1.8% in 2025) and China (from 4.2% to 4.6%), in addition to marginal improvements in the euro area (from 1.2% to 1.3%).