Evolution of the international financial markets and evaluation of the main events and economic indicators of the previous day session. Available in English.
Markets were mixed in yesterday's session as the U.S. government shutdown clouded data releases. Technology equities drove the U.S.' Nasdaq to record highs, while the S&P 500 was barely changed and euro area stocks were mixed. Sovereign yields nudged down and the USD inched higher. Brent oil prices continued to fall ahead of the weekend's OPEC+ meeting.
Markets seemed to shrug off the U.S. government shutdown in yesterday's session. Global stocks rose and U.S. sovereign yields declined amid weak U.S. labor market data. Euro area sovereign yields were little changed, and the euro held steady at $1.17. Gold also steadied after having rallied in the last few days.
Stocks rose while sovereign yields and the USD were little changed and gold advanced as investors eyed a looming U.S. government shutdown (which just began this midnight). In commodity markets, the barrel of Brent declined to $67 as investors continued to brace for an OPEC+ output hike next month.
Investors traded cautiously in the first session of the week as they pondered over the risk of a U.S. government shutdown (federal funding expires on September 30 unless Congressional leaders agree on a spending bill). The VIX rose, stocks were mixed, sovereign yields declined across the U.S. and the euro area, the USD weakened and gold rose.
Investors recovered some risk appetite in the last session of the week. Advanced-economy stocks rebounded after a few mixed sessions, while the USD weakened on expectations that the Fed may continue cutting rates in the coming weeks. Commodity prices rose across the board.
In the US, the latest revision of Q2 GDP growth confirmed the economy is expanding at a stronger pace driven by resilient personal consumption and solid private investment. Investors pared back expectations for future Fed rate cuts to four by the end of 2026. This shift pushed Treasury yields higher.
With little macro news to trade on, markets had a somewhat quiet session. Sovereign yields were mostly flat around the largest economies, with the exception of the US, where an increase in supply of government bonds drove long-term yields slightly higher. The dollar strengthened, following Fed's chair Powell cautious comments regarding future easing.
Investors kicked-off the week on a cautious tone. US Treasury yields continued to tick slightly higher, following the tendency of the last sessions. Global equities were mixed, rising in the US and declining across the euro area. A study published by the ECB found eurozone consumers have been shifting away from US goods and reducing overall discretionary spending.
On Friday’s session investors traded cautiously as they continued to digest a more-hawkish-than-expected read on recent monetary policy path indications. Sovereign bond yields slightly increased on both sides of the Atlantic and equities were mostly flat, while the dollar slightly strengthened. On the commodities side, metals prices rebounded, while oil prices dropped as worries of declining demand strengthened.
Global stocks advanced, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting new record highs, while sovereign bond yields rose on both sides of the Atlantic.
Markets had a choppy session on the day of the FOMC's meeting. US Treasury yields initially fell, stocks gained and the dollar fell on the announcement of the widely expected 25bp rate cut. But all later reversed course as investors digested a disperse dot plot which signaled a large group of the FOMC still remains hawkish. Treasury yields rose and stocks ended mostly flat.
Investors traded cautiously during yesterday's session ahead of the FOMC meeting today, in which the Fed is expected to lower interest rates by 25bp (see our take here). US Treasury yields edged down, euro area sovereign yields were flat, and stocks fell on both sides of the Atlantic. The euro rose against the dollar to its highest in 4 years, close to 1.187.