The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester International economy David Martínez Turégano Tue, 07/14/2026 - 08:09
El cambio climático y la fidelización del turismo internacional: nuevas evidencias para España Economía española David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia Mié, 08/07/2026 - 11:58
Financial Markets Daily Report 14 July 2026 Risk aversion intensified on Monday after President Trump reinstated the Hormuz blockade for Iranian ships and imposed a transit levy on non-Iranian cargo, fuelling concerns over energy supply disruptions. Brent crude oil prices rose sharply, inflation expectations moved higher and market volatility increased. World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Dining out in Spain shows a clear pattern of concentration towards the end of the week, with a higher average spend, suggesting an increasing trend towards more social and discretionary consumption, with seasonal variations. Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments In Europe, a significant portion of household wealth remains concentrated in housing and deposits, whereas in the US, the greater presence of investments in stocks and funds reflects the existence of deeper, more liquid and developed capital markets. Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock The conflict in the Middle East has raised European inflation to around 3% and has pushed the ECB out of its comfort zone. On 11 June, the central bank raised interest rates, and both its recent communications and financial market prices suggest that it will do so again… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026 European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026 Opinion The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez 13 July 2026 Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026 Portugal outlook Portugal: confidence levels recover and employment remains strong CaixaBank Research 10 July 2026 Spain Navarre AC 08 July 2026 Publications Monthly ReportJune 2026 | No. 51216 June 2026 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 July 2026 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook13 February 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month Uncertainty and resilience on the eve of summer José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026 European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026 Opinion The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez 13 July 2026 Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026Most readWarsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitmentThe global economy in search of a new balanceEuropean inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shockThe trajectory of employment growth in SpainThe COVID-19 outbreak boosts remote working NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Reactivation or deceleration? Demographics Podcasts Después de Ormuz: nuevo escenario económico 2026 19/06/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.65 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 0.9 1.5 0.7 1.2 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.1 1.8 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 Team Imelda EstebanSenior economist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Sergio DíazEconomist Meet us Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Ana María PorrasOrganization Carolina CruzOrganization Nuria BustamanteLead economist Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Meet us Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Meet us María Romero MeléndezEconomista Catalina BecuResearch assistant Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist David del ValSenior economist Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Meet us Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Roser FerrerSenior economist Jesús ViscarriOrganization Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Meet us Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Léopold JouvenEconomist Patricia EstebanCommunication Enric FernándezChief Economist Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Meet usPrint
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Dining out in Spain shows a clear pattern of concentration towards the end of the week, with a higher average spend, suggesting an increasing trend towards more social and discretionary consumption, with seasonal variations. Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments In Europe, a significant portion of household wealth remains concentrated in housing and deposits, whereas in the US, the greater presence of investments in stocks and funds reflects the existence of deeper, more liquid and developed capital markets. Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026
Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock The conflict in the Middle East has raised European inflation to around 3% and has pushed the ECB out of its comfort zone. On 11 June, the central bank raised interest rates, and both its recent communications and financial market prices suggest that it will do so again… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026
Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026
Portugal outlook Portugal: confidence levels recover and employment remains strong CaixaBank Research 10 July 2026
Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Uncertainty and resilience on the eve of summer José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026
European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026
Federal Reserve (Fed) Warsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitment David del Val 13 July 2026