The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester International economy David Martínez Turégano Tue, 07/14/2026 - 08:09
Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain Spanish economy David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia Wed, 07/15/2026 - 11:34
Financial Markets Daily Report 15 July 2026 Risk appetite improved on Tuesday after US inflation surprised to the downside in June. The CPI print was driven by falling energy prioces but also softer core services, particularly shelter, overshadowing Warsh’s hawkish remarks in Congress, where he said he has "no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation". Interest rate expectations for the Fed declined, with markets now pricing a second hike over the next 12 months with a 70% probability. Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain We analyse how tourists react to episodes of extreme heat in order to anticipate risks and opportunities for the tourism sector in the face of climate change, using anonymised internal data from foreign card payments on CaixaBank POS terminals. David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026 Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening The provisional agreement between the US and Iran reached mid-month, which extended the military truce and allowed the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered one of the sharpest drops in oil prices in recent years. This led to a significant decline in… CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz The most visible and immediate effect of the conflict has been on inflation, while the labour market shows a slower response to the shocks. The only area where the conflict has had a positive impact from a macroeconomic perspective is the tourism sector. Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026 European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026 Opinion The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez 13 July 2026 Publications Monthly ReportJuly 2026 | No. 51315 July 2026 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook10 July 2026 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026 Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook13 February 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month The Spanish economy after Hormuz Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Recommended Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026 Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026 Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026 Inflation European inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shock CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026 Employment The trajectory of employment growth in Spain Zoel Martín Vilató 14 July 2026Most readClimate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for SpainThe global economy in search of a new balanceEuropean inflation: taking stock of the Middle East shockWarsh’s Fed: from guiding expectations to managing them without commitmentThe Spanish economy after Hormuz NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Climate change & green transition Digitalisation & Technology Podcasts Después de Ormuz: nuevo escenario económico 2026 19/06/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.65 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 08-07-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 0.9 1.5 0.7 1.2 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.1 1.8 US GDP 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 Team Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Carolina CruzOrganization Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Meet us Maitane LizarragaAnalyst María Romero MeléndezEconomista Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Sergio DíazEconomist David del ValSenior economist Meet us Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Jesús ViscarriOrganization Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist Meet us Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Léopold JouvenEconomist Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Patricia EstebanCommunication Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Meet us Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Roser FerrerSenior economist Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Imelda EstebanSenior economist Catalina BecuResearch assistant Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Meet us Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Ana María PorrasOrganization Nuria BustamanteLead economist Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant Enric FernándezChief Economist Meet usPrint
Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain We analyse how tourists react to episodes of extreme heat in order to anticipate risks and opportunities for the tourism sector in the face of climate change, using anonymised internal data from foreign card payments on CaixaBank POS terminals. David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026
Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening The provisional agreement between the US and Iran reached mid-month, which extended the military truce and allowed the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered one of the sharpest drops in oil prices in recent years. This led to a significant decline in… CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026
Opinion The Spanish economy after Hormuz The most visible and immediate effect of the conflict has been on inflation, while the labour market shows a slower response to the shocks. The only area where the conflict has had a positive impact from a macroeconomic perspective is the tourism sector. Oriol Aspachs 15 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy The evolution of the conflict in the Middle East remains key for the global outlook. Following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the data show a somewhat erratic increase in trade flows, consistent with warnings from various international agencies that normalisation… CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026
European Union The upcoming budget takes over from NGEU in the European Semester David Martínez Turégano 14 July 2026
Sectorial ReportReal Estate. Increasing supply, the great challenge of the Spanish real estate market S1 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
The global economy in search of a new balance José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Climate change Climate change and international tourist loyalty: new evidence for Spain David Cesar Heymann Eduard Alcobé Garcia 15 July 2026
Financial markets outlook The reopening of Hormuz supports markets despite monetary tightening CaixaBank Research 15 July 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy at a crossroads: slowdown or recovery? CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
World outlook The US-Iran agreement alleviates adverse scenarios for the international economy CaixaBank Research 14 July 2026
Tourism From the weekday set menu to Saturday night: weekly consumption patterns in Spanish restaurants Pedro Álvarez Ondina Eduard Alcobé Garcia 14 July 2026
Investment Europe needs to channel its high savings into productive investments Rita Sánchez Soliva 14 July 2026