China’s alchemy: how it transforms critical minerals into global power International economy Luís Pinheiro de Matos Thu, 01/15/2026 - 13:16
Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Spanish economy Pedro Álvarez Ondina Wed, 02/11/2026 - 14:13
Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Spanish economy Javier García Arenas Wed, 02/11/2026 - 12:42
Financial Markets Daily Report 12 February 2026 Yesterday's data releases showed a stronger-than-expected labour market in the US, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 130k in January and unemployment rate easing 0.1pp to 4.3%. The data reinforced market expectations that the Fed will deliver two rate cuts this year, likely starting in the summer, rather than signaling an earlier or more aggressive easing cycle. Opinion Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data It is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore the noise caused by the geopolitical context and focus on the signal coming from macroeconomic data. The sense of vulnerability is heightened by the unpredictability surrounding the pace of change in the old international… José Ramón Díez 12 February 2026 Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? Optimism surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) has been a key driver in the US stock market rally of recent months, helping the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to record gains for the third consecutive year in 2025. Part of this expansion was explained by increased… David del Val 12 February 2026 Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets Geopolitics marked the beginning of the year in the financial markets. The resurgence of tensions, from Venezuela to Iran, and the diplomatic clash between the US and Europe over Greenland generated risk aversion and triggered a temporary spike in market… CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026 International India India is emerging as the fastest-growing economy globally among the major economies, recording average GDP growth of over 7.0% since the pandemic. In the coming years, the Indian economy’s growth is likely to slow down slightly. 12 February 2026 Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026 Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026 Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026 Productivity Hours worked and productivity: is Spain an outlier in the EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026 Financial markets Risk premiums and macroeconomics: a robust and cross-cutting relationship CaixaBank Research 10 February 2026 Labour market & demographics CaixaBank Research wage indicator: new perspectives by company size and job tenure Josep Mestres Domènech 10 February 2026 Publications Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 Monthly ReportNo. 507| An analysis of European productivity January 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook20 January 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook20 January 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. The Spanish real estate sector is in full expansionary phase S2 2025 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial Words for the economic labyrinth José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Recommended Opinion Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data José Ramón Díez 12 February 2026 Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? David del Val 12 February 2026 Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026 Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026 Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026 Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026 Productivity Hours worked and productivity: is Spain an outlier in the EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026 Labour market & demographics CaixaBank Research wage indicator: new perspectives by company size and job tenure Josep Mestres Domènech 10 February 2026 Inflation The differing speeds of inflation: a differential calculation for the ECB CaixaBank Research 10 February 2026Most readThere are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizensTreasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demandCaixaBank Research wage indicator: new perspectives by company size and job tenureHours worked and productivity: is Spain an outlier in the EU?Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Digitalisation & Technology Macrofinance Podcasts Del laberinto geopolítico a la productividad: claves económicas para empezar el año 30/01/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 09-02-20262023202420252026 Fed Funds 5.25 4.25 3.50 3.00 ECB Refi 4.50 3.24 2.15 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 09-02-20262023202420252026 Euro area GDP 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.2 Spain GDP 2.5 3.5 2.8 2.1 US GDP 2.9 2.8 1.8 1.9 Team Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics David del ValSenior economist Nuria BustamanteLead economist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Jesús ViscarriOrganization José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Meet us Patricia EstebanCommunication David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Meet us Ana María PorrasOrganization Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Enric FernándezChief Economist Meet us María Romero MeléndezEconomista José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Carolina CruzOrganization Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist Meet us Sergio DíazEconomist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Catalina BecuResearch assistant Imelda EstebanSenior economist Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Meet us Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Léopold JouvenEconomist Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Roser FerrerSenior economist Meet usPrint
Opinion Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data It is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore the noise caused by the geopolitical context and focus on the signal coming from macroeconomic data. The sense of vulnerability is heightened by the unpredictability surrounding the pace of change in the old international… José Ramón Díez 12 February 2026
Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? Optimism surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) has been a key driver in the US stock market rally of recent months, helping the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to record gains for the third consecutive year in 2025. Part of this expansion was explained by increased… David del Val 12 February 2026
Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets Geopolitics marked the beginning of the year in the financial markets. The resurgence of tensions, from Venezuela to Iran, and the diplomatic clash between the US and Europe over Greenland generated risk aversion and triggered a temporary spike in market… CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026
International India India is emerging as the fastest-growing economy globally among the major economies, recording average GDP growth of over 7.0% since the pandemic. In the coming years, the Indian economy’s growth is likely to slow down slightly. 12 February 2026
Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026
Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026
Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026
Productivity Hours worked and productivity: is Spain an outlier in the EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026
Financial markets Risk premiums and macroeconomics: a robust and cross-cutting relationship CaixaBank Research 10 February 2026
Labour market & demographics CaixaBank Research wage indicator: new perspectives by company size and job tenure Josep Mestres Domènech 10 February 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
Reality or fiction? The answer lies in the data José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
Stock markets Innovation, expectations and vertigo: is AI-driven concentration reshaping Wall Street? David del Val 12 February 2026
Financial markets outlook A start to the year with cross-currents in the financial markets CaixaBank Research 12 February 2026
Tourism Business turnover, a structural challenge for Spain’s catering sector Pedro Álvarez Ondina 11 February 2026
Public sector Treasury funding needs in 2026: high but manageable thanks to strong demand Javier García Arenas 11 February 2026
Real estate There are reasons why housing has become the top concern among European citizens David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026
Productivity Hours worked and productivity: is Spain an outlier in the EU? David Martínez Turégano 11 February 2026
Labour market & demographics CaixaBank Research wage indicator: new perspectives by company size and job tenure Josep Mestres Domènech 10 February 2026
Inflation The differing speeds of inflation: a differential calculation for the ECB CaixaBank Research 10 February 2026