The macro-financial environment behind the economic outlook Financial markets CaixaBank Research Tue, 03/17/2026 - 09:44
Resumen ejecutivo. Un mercado inmobiliario tensionado en un entorno de mayor incertidumbre Nuria Bustamante Vie, 20/03/2026 - 11:41
The Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East Key points of the month Oriol Aspachs Tue, 03/17/2026 - 10:02
Financial Markets Daily Report 23 March 2026 Friday's session was again driven by inflationary concerns amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Brent prices settled over $110/barrel and market volatility rose as President Trump pledged to send more troops to Iran and to intervene in the Kharg island to reopen the Strair of Hormuz. Spain's outlook The Spanish economy: between resilience and slowdown The Spanish economy closed 2025 with solid growth and has kicked off 2026 with figures that remain strong, albeit somewhat lower than those of last year. Together, the indicators published to date are consistent with CaixaBank Research’s forecast scenario, set out in the… CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026 Activity & growth Japan, at the dawn of a new cycle: fiscal tensions and monetary normalisation in the Land of the Rising Sun Japanese sovereign yields have rebounded since 2022, particularly in the past year, and have exceeded the 2% threshold for the first time in nearly three decades. These movements have sparked a wide debate about the country’s fiscal sustainability and the direction of its… Luís Pinheiro de Matos Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 17 March 2026 Financial markets The macro-financial environment behind the economic outlook The risk map is demanding and, in addition to the prevalence of geopolitical disruptions, the financial markets have shown sensitivity to the promises, doubts and transformations of artificial intelligence (AI) and to the sustainability of public debt. CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026 Opinion The Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East The outbreak of the war in the Middle East has once again triggered a spike in global uncertainty. As has occurred repeatedly in recent years, we yet again find ourselves in a context in which it is very difficult to make reliable forecasts. It happened during the… Oriol Aspachs 17 March 2026 Portugal outlook Stormy start to the year for the Portuguese economy CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026 Recent developments 10 questions on the US Supreme Court’s tariff ruling David Martínez Turégano 12 March 2026 Foreign sector Spain’s foreign sector performed better than expected in 2025 Sergio Díaz 12 March 2026 Opinion Geopolitics and tariffs: a new twist for economic resilience José Ramón Díez 12 March 2026 World outlook The international economy once again follows developments in the US CaixaBank Research 13 March 2026 Activity & growth What to expect from the international economy in 2026 Rita Sánchez Soliva 16 March 2026 Publications Monthly ReportMarch 2026 | No. 50917 March 2026 Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026 SpainSpain’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook11 March 2026 PortugalPortugal’s Macroeconomic & Financial Outlook13 February 2026 Sectorial ReportAgrifood. The Spanish agrifood sector gains momentum 2025 Sectorial ReportReal Estate. The Spanish real estate sector is in full expansionary phase S2 2025 Sectorial ReportSectoral Observatory S1 2025 Sectorial ReportManufacturing Industry 2023 Opinion Editorial Geopolitics and tariffs: a new twist for economic resilience José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets Key points of the month The Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics Recommended Opinion The Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East Oriol Aspachs 17 March 2026 Financial markets The macro-financial environment behind the economic outlook CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026 Portugal outlook Stormy start to the year for the Portuguese economy CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026 Activity & growth The Spanish economy in 2026 Oriol Carreras Baquer 17 March 2026 Activity & growth Japan, at the dawn of a new cycle: fiscal tensions and monetary normalisation in the Land of the Rising Sun Luís Pinheiro de Matos Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 17 March 2026 Spain's outlook The Spanish economy: between resilience and slowdown CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026 Activity & growth What to expect from the international economy in 2026 Rita Sánchez Soliva 16 March 2026 Foreign sector Spanish exports amid challenges to their competitiveness Catalina Becu 13 March 2026 World outlook The international economy once again follows developments in the US CaixaBank Research 13 March 2026Most readRussia puts the global outlook for oil in checkThe Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle EastThe Spanish economy in 2026The war between Russia and Ukraine will slow the recovery of the Spanish economyGeopolitical uncertainty and economic growth: the indirect impact of the Ukraine conflict in Spain NewsletterBeing informed now ismore important than everGet our latest updates Sign in Hot topics Inflationary pressures Monetary and fiscal policy Podcasts Guerra en Irán: implicaciones para la economía mundial y para España 16/03/2026 Forecasts Financial markets Interest rate (%)Update date 10-03-20262024202520262027 Fed Funds 4.25 3.50 3.00 3.00 ECB Refi 3.24 2.15 2.15 2.15 Macroeconomic GDP (%)Update date 10-03-20262024202520262027 Euro area GDP 0.8 1.5 1.3 1.5 Spain GDP 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 US GDP 2.8 2.2 2.6 2.0 Team Luís Pinheiro de MatosEconomist Oriol Carreras BaquerSenior economist Patricia EstebanCommunication Alberto GrazianoSenior Data Scientist Sergio DíazEconomist Jesús ViscarriOrganization Ana Rincón GarcíaOrganization Meet us David Martínez TuréganoSenior economist Ariadna Vidal MartínezLead economist Josep Mestres DomènechLead economist Zoel Martín VilatóEconomist David Cesar HeymannEconomist Carolina CruzOrganization David del ValSenior economist Meet us Mar Bisquert PerlesData scientist Marina Tombas SuñéData Scientist Mireia CrusellsAnalyst Rita Sánchez SolivaEconomist Pedro Álvarez OndinaEconomist Javier García ArenasSenior economist Isabela Lara WhiteEconomist Meet us Nuria BustamanteLead economist Léopold JouvenEconomist Javier Ibáñez de Aldecoa FusterEconomist Judit Montoriol GarrigaLead economist Catalina BecuResearch assistant José Antonio Sánchez PalominoData scientist Jesús Manuel Carrera MorenoResearch assistant Meet us Maitane LizarragaAnalyst Sandra Jódar RosellDirector of Strategic Planning María Romero MeléndezEconomista José Ramón DíezHead of International Economics & Markets Enric FernándezChief Economist Oriol AspachsHead of Spanish Economics Eduard Alcobé GarciaData scientist Meet us Adrià Morron SalmeronLead economist Ana María PorrasOrganization Roser FerrerSenior economist Beatriz Villafranca SerranoEconomist Imelda EstebanSenior economist Meet usPrint
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy: between resilience and slowdown The Spanish economy closed 2025 with solid growth and has kicked off 2026 with figures that remain strong, albeit somewhat lower than those of last year. Together, the indicators published to date are consistent with CaixaBank Research’s forecast scenario, set out in the… CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026
Activity & growth Japan, at the dawn of a new cycle: fiscal tensions and monetary normalisation in the Land of the Rising Sun Japanese sovereign yields have rebounded since 2022, particularly in the past year, and have exceeded the 2% threshold for the first time in nearly three decades. These movements have sparked a wide debate about the country’s fiscal sustainability and the direction of its… Luís Pinheiro de Matos Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 17 March 2026
Financial markets The macro-financial environment behind the economic outlook The risk map is demanding and, in addition to the prevalence of geopolitical disruptions, the financial markets have shown sensitivity to the promises, doubts and transformations of artificial intelligence (AI) and to the sustainability of public debt. CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026
Opinion The Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East The outbreak of the war in the Middle East has once again triggered a spike in global uncertainty. As has occurred repeatedly in recent years, we yet again find ourselves in a context in which it is very difficult to make reliable forecasts. It happened during the… Oriol Aspachs 17 March 2026
Portugal outlook Stormy start to the year for the Portuguese economy CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026
Recent developments 10 questions on the US Supreme Court’s tariff ruling David Martínez Turégano 12 March 2026
Foreign sector Spain’s foreign sector performed better than expected in 2025 Sergio Díaz 12 March 2026
World outlook The international economy once again follows developments in the US CaixaBank Research 13 March 2026
Activity & growth What to expect from the international economy in 2026 Rita Sánchez Soliva 16 March 2026
Sectorial ReportTourism. Spanish tourism sector: from post-pandemic rebound to sustainable growth S1 2026
Geopolitics and tariffs: a new twist for economic resilience José Ramón Díez Head of International Economics & Markets
The Spanish economy amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East Oriol Aspachs Head of Spanish Economics
Financial markets The macro-financial environment behind the economic outlook CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026
Portugal outlook Stormy start to the year for the Portuguese economy CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026
Activity & growth Japan, at the dawn of a new cycle: fiscal tensions and monetary normalisation in the Land of the Rising Sun Luís Pinheiro de Matos Jesús Manuel Carrera Moreno 17 March 2026
Spain's outlook The Spanish economy: between resilience and slowdown CaixaBank Research 17 March 2026
Activity & growth What to expect from the international economy in 2026 Rita Sánchez Soliva 16 March 2026
World outlook The international economy once again follows developments in the US CaixaBank Research 13 March 2026